Quote Of The Year

Timeless Quotes - Sadly The Late Paul Shetler - "Its not Your Health Record it's a Government Record Of Your Health Information"

or

H. L. Mencken - "For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong."

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Now I Think This Is A Biggie From The Health IT Standards Perspective! Not Quite As Good In OZ!

The following popped up a few days ago.

Single vocab standard for each EHR reporting domain seen as 'momentous'

August 18, 2011 | Mary Mosquera

The Health IT Standards Committee has endorsed a single set of vocabulary standards and a single guide for putting them in place for each area of quality reporting measures, an accomplishment that some individuals and groups have been working on for 10 years. The domains include medications, labs and allergies.

The committee will recommend to the Office of the National Coordinator for Health IT to incorporate the vocabulary standards and implementation guides in certification criteria for electronic health records (EHRs) for stage 2 of meaningful use.

Standards provide the common technical methods that can be installed in EHRs to support functions that improve care and help physicians and hospitals meet meaningful use.

ONC has offered choices of vocabulary standards associated with some quality measures in stage one, according to Dr. John Halamka, committee co-chair and CIO of Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center.

“Today we have achieved something that some of us have been working on for a decade. For the first time in history, we will be declaring a single set of standards for each domain with one set of implementation guides,” Halamka said at the Aug. 17 committee meeting. “This is truly a momentous event.”

In categories where more work is needed, the committee will suggest that pilots be the next step.

One criticism of stage one where vocabulary standards are involved is the availability of choice. “Every time we say ‘or,’ we really mean ‘and.’ It creates a dizzying amount of mapping because vendors must support every variation,” Halamka said.

Over the past month, the committee has fine-tuned the proposals of two of its work groups to require a minimal number of vocabulary standards, primarily SNOMED-CT, LOINC or RxNorm.

“For every category of vocabulary, they have chosen one standard,” Halamka said.

The Systematized Nomenclature of Medicine-Clinical Terms (SNOMED-CT) is a standard medical vocabulary for use in electronic health records for sharing information across specialties and sites of care. The Logical Observation Identifiers Names and Codes (LOINC) is used for lab and clinical identifiers. And RxNorm is a standard for the names for clinical drugs and drug delivery devices produced by the National Library of Medicine.

More here:

http://govhealthit.com/news/panel-endorses-single-vocab-standard-each-ehr-reporting-domain

A few days earlier we had a closed loop lab ordering approach moving forward at a good clip.

ELINCS lab order specification completed

By Joseph Conn

Posted: August 12, 2011 - 12:01 am ET

A key communications specification for laboratory orders between office-based physicians and community health centers and hospital and commercial clinical laboratories has been completed, the Califorinia Healthcare Foundation has announced.

The release closes the loop on the Electronic Health Record-Lab Interoperability and Connectivity Specification, or ELINCS, a project of the foundation that dates back to 2005 to standardize communications out of an electronic cacophony of standards and channels between providers and the labs they routinely use in patient care.

ELINCS Orders, as its name implies, aims to facilitate standardized orders between providers and labs and is the product of about a year of work, according to Glen Moy, the Oakland, Calif.-based senior program officer for the foundation.

“Now that Version 1.0 has been developed, we’re going to start doing pilot implementations both here in California, and we’re going to select some partner sites across the country as well,” Moy said. “We haven’t finalized that list yet. We’re probably kick off the pilots in early fall or this winter, with the plan of taking the feedback from those pilots and producing a Version 1.1, if you will. We’re also looking at taking the specification and having it balloted through HL7 (Health Level Seven, a healthcare-oriented standards development organization) as a draft standard for trial use. That’s going to take a while, so we’re going to try to do the two in a slightly staggered approach.”

More here:

http://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20110812/NEWS/308089988/

All one can conclude from this is that there is a good deal of activity leading to clear outcomes on what will be used in the US for the foreseeable future. It is also clear that the choices being made have been carefully considered and that each has been selected to cover its areas of strength.

In Australia, for a reason that is not clear, the NEHTA Standards Catalogue and we are told that “The PCEHR Standards Catalogue currently being updated and will be available soon.” (As of 24/08/2011)

See here:

http://www.nehta.gov.au/standards-catalogue

I know a report was prepared on PCEHR Standards but for reasons that are not clear it has also not been made public. Its status is pretty murky at present I have to say.

An indication of what might be included can be browsed her from a recent presentation - albeit a lot of it is still draft.

www.ihe-australia.wikispaces.com/file/view/GRain_+standards+for+PCEHR.pdf

Of course, at last report, there is still a stand-off on the DoHA / Standards Australia funding agreement as far as has been heard.

There are also some issues with Standards choice identified here:

http://blog.healthbase.info/?p=253

A problem that can’t be sugar coated

All in all, one gets the sense that, right now, Australian E-Health Standards Delivery does not have the management and governance that is needed. It really is feeling like a bit of a mess, despite all this architecture effort!

David.

Here Is The Reason That NEHTA is an Utterly Dysfunctional Organisation. They Are Off On A Total Frolic!


The following organisational chart dropped across my desk yesterday.

It covers the organisation of NEHTA’s Enterprise Architecture Office (EAO).

Click on image to enlarge and have the awful detail revealed!

As a respected management academic said to me regarding this chart - “the only way you get something like this is when you have no idea how to manage!”

To me this just shows an utterly out of control, overreaching and utterly absurd organisation that really needs to get back to doing what was expected - not build empires of this bizarre and irrelevant sort.

Just what is the justification for all this when the Health IT industry in this country is the provider of systems and services and not NEHTA?

This is just a travesty and a farce.

David.

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

The Following Amazing Report Appeared Today. I Am Just Staggered!

This came up just a few hours ago.

DoHA confirms next round of PCEHR funding in negotiations

The third round of funding for the project will be allocated to the National e-Health Transition Authority (NeHTA) by November 2011

The Federal Department of Health has confirmed it is in negotiations for the third tranche of funding to be allocated to the National e-Health Transition Authority (NeHTA) for the $466.7 million Personally Controlled Electronic Health Record (PCEHR) project.

Speaking to Computerworld Australia, a spokeswoman for the Department of Health and Ageing (DoHA) said negotiations were progressing in line with the end of the previous stage with a new allocation to be made by November this year.

The spokeswoman could not comment on the exact amount of funds to be allocated to NeHTA, but said it would be dependent on contract deliverables and used to build upon the work completed so far.

The second round of funding received by NeHTA, $50.5 million for the period from May to October 2011, covered a number of areas including system architecture, detailed business requirements, security design, standard requirements and technical specifications. This followed the allocation of the initial $38.5 million to support the PCEHR project from November 2010 to April 2011.

“NeHTA is also acting as the Department’s managing agent in relation to the recently announced National Infrastructure, National Change and Adoption and Benefits Partners and the 12 lead implementation sites,” the spokeswoman said.

Lots more here:

http://www.cio.com.au/article/398098/doha_confirms_next_round_pcehr_funding_negotiations/

Here is the earlier report for reference.

NEHTA receives next instalment of $466.7m e-health project

The funding of $38.5 million will assist the organisation in the next stage of its personally-controlled electronic health record (PCEHR) project

The National e-health Transition Authority (NEHTA) has confirmed it has received the latest tranche of a total of $466.7 million in funding from the Federal Department of Health for the next stage of its personally-controlled electronic health record (PCEHR) project.

According to a NEHTA spokesperson, funding of $38.5 million will be provided for a six month period to 30 June this year under which the organisation will provide management support services as private-sector partners are hired for four key roles: a national infrastructure partner; a change and adoption partner; a benefits realisation partner and an external assurance adviser.

Much more here

http://www.computerworld.com.au/article/375382/nehta_receives_next_installment_466_7m_e-health_project/

So what we have here is about $89M paid to NEHTA for their contribution to the PCEHR for the year to October, 2011.

All this seems just utterly over the top to me. That some of money could, for example, pay for 1 year for about 590 staff each being paid $150,000 p.a. What on earth were even ½ of this number of people actually doing?

We are also told above the funds were for “a number of areas including system architecture, detailed business requirements, security design, standard requirements and technical specifications”. Well the flash on this is that DoHA has bought a system, for the sake of speed of implementation, and so a good deal of this work will be out the window as it is just irrelevant to what Accenture is actually delivering.

An audit of just how this money has been spent is urgently required as,- on any reasonable look - the spend seems just profligate in the extreme.

What is even more amazing is that without any public accountability as to what has been delivered even more is to be spent!

I am happy to be shown it is and was all utterly reasonable, but really I find my credulability just a trifle stretched!

I look forward to someone explaining how a spend of this sort can be justified - given that the various Wave sites and provisioning contracts are all apparently funded directly from DoHA.

David.

Monday, August 22, 2011

Weekly Australian Health IT Links – 22 August, 2011.

Here are a few I have come across this week.

Note: Each link is followed by a title and a few paragraphs. For the full article click on the link above title of the article. Note also that full access to some links may require site registration or subscription payment.

General Comment

It seems to me that the most important news this week are covered in the first two articles. IBM is a formidable innovator and announcements like this have the prospect of creating significant change over the next couple of decades.

The second is this survey in the Australian

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/health-of-the-nation

Health of the Nation.

The report on attitudes to e-Health records I see as pretty important and they need to be carefully considered by the PCEHR program.

Of course the announcement of the PCEHR Infrastructure Partner is important but I suspect what we have heard from IBM will have a bigger impact a decade from now!

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http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/ibm-unveils-chips-that-mimic-human-brain/story-e6frfku0-1226117824208

IBM unveils chips that mimic human brain

  • From correspondents in Washington
  • From: AFP
  • August 19, 2011 4:53AM

US computer giant IBM has announced that it has developed prototypes of computer chips that mimic the way the human brain works.

The Armonk, New York-based company known as Big Blue said overnight the experimental "cognitive computing chips" could eventually lead to machines that "emulate the brain's abilities for perception, action and cognition".

"These chips are another significant step in the evolution of computers from calculators to learning systems, signalling the beginning of a new generation of computers," said Dharmendra Modha, project leader for IBM Research.

"Future applications of computing will increasingly demand functionality that is not efficiently delivered by the traditional architecture," Ms Modha said.

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http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/e-records-in-doubt/story-fn59niix-1226117945857

E-records in doubt

SCEPTICISM about the security of the federal government's proposed system of electronic health records is running so high experts warn it threatens to render the $500 million system a white elephant.

In the 2010-11 budget the Labor government allocated $466m over two years to set up a national system of electronic medical records, which it said would cut waste such as duplicated tests, and improve care by allowing doctors faster access to patient histories.

But Newspoll research for Inquirer suggests nearly half of Australians may consider boycotting the voluntary system when it launches in July next year amid concerns the government may find it impossible to guarantee private medical details remain private.

Forty-one per cent of respondents say they are not confident their details will remain confidential under the new system.

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http://www.mja.com.au/public/issues/195_04_150811/lia10586_letter_fm.html

Can we trust the PCEHR not to leak?

Siaw-Teng Liaw and Terry Hannan

MJA 2011; 195 (4): 222

In April this year, the Federal Minister for Health and Ageing, Nicola Roxon, stated that by July 2012 all Australians will be able to “sign up for a personally controlled e-health record . . . [that] will enable better access to important health information currently held in dispersed records around the country”.1 Laudable aims, but can patients and clinicians trust the reliability and confidentiality of this personally controlled e-health record (PCEHR)?

The National eHealth Transition Authority’s draft concept of operations document proposes that individuals will be able to access a data repository (“My PCEHR”) and tools (“My Access Controls”) to make this dispersed information available to their chosen health care providers.1 The authors failed to give essential details on how the PCEHR will work, but showed insight in their assessment that the scope and extent of information to be shared in the PCEHR is dependent on the readiness of the health care sector to participate.

The concept of democratisation of personal health information is central to the PCEHR, reflecting the populist philosophy of the present Web 2.0 and social networking environment where information is freely published and shared.2 This increases the potential for leakage of information, albeit often unintended, from clinician-held electronic health records (EHRs) via the disparate members of the PCEHR network (Box). Information that, if leaked, might have potential adverse impacts includes family history of disease, and information that may reflect negatively on other health professionals, friends or family members.2 Information leakage, along with complex access and provenance arrangements and individuals “hiding” rather than “denying access” to PCEHR information, will discourage clinicians from participating in a system where they are uncertain about the completeness of the information.

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http://www.theage.com.au/national/technology-vaccine-for-mental-health-help-20110818-1j060.html

Technology 'vaccine' for mental health help

Dan Harrison

August 19, 2011

TECHNOLOGY could be the 21st century vaccine for suicide, depression, eating disorders and substance abuse, according to the head of a new research centre that will investigate how internet and smartphone applications can be used to improve the mental health of young people.

Speaking at the National Press Club yesterday, Jane Burns, the chief executive of the Co-operative Research Centre for Young People, Technology and Wellbeing, said the internet could provide support to the large numbers of young people who do not seek help for their mental health issues. Dr Burns said 70 per cent of young people who experienced mental health difficulties did not seek care.

''For a generation that has grown up with the internet and web-enabled devices, accessing support online feels comfortable, safe and easy. Its anonymity and 24-hour availability are added advantages for a young person that is not yet ready to speak to someone face-to-face or by phone,'' Dr Burns said.

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http://www.zdnet.com.au/accenture-nabs-key-e-health-deal-339320395.htm

Accenture nabs key e-health deal

By Suzanne Tindal, ZDNet.com.au on August 15th, 2011

A consortium headed by Accenture has reportedly snagged the largest deal going under the government's migration to personally-controlled electronic health records.

The group has taken out the contract to develop and implement the physical systems, product and interfaces necessary for the personally-controlled electronic health record system, according to reports, with the contract expected to be formally announced shortly by Health Minister Nicola Roxon's office. The government has pledged that the $467 million electronic health record system will be ready for July 2012.

The contract would include the integration of the system with existing e-health infrastructure nationally.

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http://www.itnews.com.au/News/267036,telstra-cerner-named-in-e-health-record-rollout.aspx

Telstra, Cerner named in e-health record rollout

Health finds silver lining as sub-contractors revealed.

A total of eight parties have been chosen to participate in the infrastructure build for the Federal Government's $466.7 million personally controlled electronic health record (PCEHR), with Telstra and e-health partner Cerner among those joining the Accenture-led effort.

iTnews can reveal that consortium winners Accenture, Oracle and Orion Health are to be joined by sub-contractors Telstra, Cerner, ThinkPlace, Extensia and Ocean Informatics in the infrastructure build.

The Department of Health and Ageing had agreed to pay out the $77 million budget for the build, with Accenture receiving the lion's share at $47.8 million. Oracle and Orion Health had also picked up $17.8 million and $11 million, respectively, for the license fees required to use the software underpinning electronic health records.

A further $137.5 million had been allocated to 12 implementation sites around the country, tasked with trialling individual elements of the technology to be used in the record with specific demographics.

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http://www.cmio.net/index.php?option=com_articles&view=article&id=29139

Australia to build personal e-health system

Written by Editorial Staff

August 18, 2011

Australia’s Department of Health and Aging will get assistance in the design and implementation of the country’s Personally Controlled Electronic Health Record (PCEHR) system from Accenture. The e-health system will span all Australia-based health systems and give patients a single record for managing their care.

The PCEHR, which was announced by Australia’s Department of Health and Aging last year, invested $466.7 million over two years to establish the system, which is available by registration.

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http://www.theaustralian.com.au/australian-it/health-industry-preparing-to-mine-patient-data-from-monitoring-systems/story-e6frgakx-1226115516522

Health industry preparing to mine patient data from monitoring systems

ADVANCED analytics are set to transform healthcare, as the industry prepares to mine patient data streamed from monitoring systems and held in electronic medical records.

Jim Davis, senior vice-president of analytics leader SAS, says "tremendous amounts of data" are being generated by remote monitoring systems and new digital imaging and diagnostic tools.

"Doctors have live data coming out of these devices and equipment, but to date it really hasn't been analysed," he says.

But that will rapidly change, as health organisations begin adopting mature analytics tools.

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http://www.theaustralian.com.au/australian-it/business-management-system-to-aid-hospital-workflow/story-e6frgakx-1226115508107

Business management system to aid hospital workflow

A NEW IT system designed to improve workflow in surgical theatres has the potential to save time and boost patient numbers through the door.

The customised IT business management system, developed by Queensland University of Technology, has been successfully demonstrated in a hospital in Germany.

The project, involving QUT's Business Process Management group, is being done in partnership with German software company Gecko.

BPM group researcher Chun Ouyang said the system was more accurate, efficient and quicker than a human-run scheduling system.

"Scheduling of operating theatres has been one of the open issues in the health domain," Dr Ouyang said.

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http://www.zdnet.com.au/analysis-the-key-to-better-healthcare-ibm-339320491.htm

Analysis the key to better healthcare: IBM

By Michael Lee, ZDNet.com.au on August 16th, 2011

The lack of ICT in healthcare has led to lower productivity and more labour-intensive processes, and has exposed more patients to more errors, according to IBM Australia managing director Andrew Stevens. Stevens said that more money needs to be spent on healthcare IT, putting special emphasis on data analysis.

Addressing the American Chamber of Commerce in Australia today, Stevens said that at the current rate of healthcare spending, and coupled with the ageing population, healthcare would account for almost half of government expenses if nothing was done to fix the health system.

"Australia's healthcare sector already costs taxpayers approximately $100 billion per year, equivalent to 10 per cent of GDP, and health expenditure is growing faster than GDP," he said.

"Within 20 years, Treasury expects Australia's healthcare bill to top $250 billion as the population ages and as serious and chronic disease levels increase."

He said that this was further exacerbated by the lack of investment in ICT, which would raise productivity. According to Stevens, only 1.5 per cent of revenue per annum is spent in ICT in the healthcare industry, compared to 2.5 per cent in other industries.

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http://www.crikey.com.au/2011/08/18/roxons-health-records-system-a-massive-waste-of-467-million/

Thursday, 18 August 2011 /

Roxon’s health records system a ‘massive waste of $467 million’

by Andrew Crook

The headline announcement this week that health minister Nicola Roxon had hatched a $77 million deal with global services behemoth Accenture to deliver its controversial e-health records system has failed to quell the rage of vocal detractors who say taxpayers are being taken for a ride.

The chosen consortium, also including Oracle, Orion Health and a suite of smaller IT minnows, is charged with rolling out the $467 million “personally controlled electronic healthcare record system”, or PCEHR. It will allow patients to register for an e-health record that could be accessed by GPs and specialists around the country. The winning trio triumphed in the Singapore government’s bid to deliver a similar system last year.

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http://www.theaustralian.com.au/australian-it/csc-australia-aims-to-woo-sap-public-sector-with-cloud-push/story-e6frgakx-1226116586390

CSC Australia aims to woo SAP, public sector with cloud push

  • Fran Foo
  • From: Australian IT
  • August 17, 2011 11:12AM

CSC has unveiled a three-pronged strategy to push its cloud computing wares in Australia, with executives hopeful it can lure nascent player SAP.

Aimed at enterprise and government, CSC will be able to tap into its existing base of clients such as Defence, Immigration, AMP and Westpac Group.

Customers have the option of utilising CSC's local data centres for either a public or private cloud, or host a private cloud at the premises of their choice.

CSC's private, on-premises offering, dubbed BizCloud, includes an infrastructure as a service component that relies on virtualisation software from VMware, security and networking from Cisco and EMC storage.

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http://www.computerworld.com.au/article/397357/perth_fiona_stanley_hospital_signs_bt_communications_it_services/

Perth's Fiona Stanley Hospital signs on with BT for communications and IT services

Serco partners with BT for the project

The new Fiona Stanley Hospital in Perth, Western Australia, will put communications and sustainability at the forefront of its IT agenda, thanks to an agreement with international services firm, Serco, for facilities management and support services.

Serco will partner with BT for the project. Under the contract, BT will install and manage the hospital’s communications infrastructure and run a range of IT services.

The WA Department of Health announced Serco as the preferred bidder for the contract in October 2010, following a nine-month evaluation process. According to BT, Serco will work with the Western Australian Government as the lead service integrator to provision non-clinical services, with BT as the key IT partner.

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http://www.itwire.com/it-industry-news/deals/49186-bt-wins-wa-hospital-it-contract-promises-90-jobs

BT wins WA hospital IT contract, promises 90 jobs

BT has been selected by international services company, Serco, to be its IT partner on the new Fiona Stanley Hospital in Perth. The deal represents a first of BT, which has been trying for some time to export its expertise in the sector into the Australian market.

Under the contract, BT will install and manage the hospital's communications infrastructure and run a range of IT services "aimed at helping the hospital become one of the most technologically advanced and environmentally friendly hospitals in the country."

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http://www.6minutes.com.au/news/dvt-risk-calculator-for-gps

VTE risk calculator for GPs

A new algorithm has been developed to predict the absolute risk of venous thromboembolism in primary care patients.

Published in the BMJ this week, the ‘QThrombosis’ calculator (link) may be used “to identify patients at highest risk of venous thromboembolism and those most likely to benefit from intervention, such as change in medication, mechanical prophylaxis, or thromboprophylactic medication,” say its UK developers.

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http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/data-matchmaker-finds-new-uses-for-drugs/story-e6frfku0-1226117131450

Data 'matchmaker' finds new uses for drugs

  • From correspondents in Washington
  • From: AFP
  • August 18, 2011 7:35AM

US scientists have devised a drug-disease matchmaking program that mines databases for potentially useful new treatment combinations and has turned up two so far, says a study.

For instance, a drug commonly used to alleviate ulcers has shown promise against lung cancer and an epilepsy medicine for halting seizures could also work against inflammatory bowel disease, the study released today said.

The research, led by Stanford University scientists and funded by the National Institutes of Health, is published in the journal Science Translational Medicine.

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http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/kids-medical-records-abandoned-in-office-20110815-1itgd.html

Kids’ medical records abandoned in office

August 15, 2011 - 6:58AM

Thousands of children’s medical files from a controversial treatment program for hyperactivity and dyslexia were left strewn throughout an abandoned clinic in Melbourne.

The files including the names, dates of birth, home addresses and medical details were left inside the Dore clinic at Hawthorn when the British parent company went into voluntary administration in 2008, The Australian reports.

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http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/nation/abandoned-clinics-medical-records-gathered-up/story-e6frg6nf-1226115529143

Abandoned clinic's medical records gathered up

CHILDREN'S medical records left unsecured in an abandoned clinic for three years were yesterday seized by Victoria's Health Services Commissioner, who vowed to investigate the serious breach of privacy.

As Victorian Department of Health officials and members of the police privacy unit looked on, Health Services Commissioner Beth Wilson removed all patient information from a former Dore clinic in the inner Melbourne suburb of Hawthorn. While some files were still in boxes, many had been pulled out and scattered throughout the building, which has been vacant since 2008.

The files will be stored securely while Ms Wilson investigates whether the state's Health Records Act has been breached.

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http://www.computerworld.com.au/article/397538/nbn_answer_disability_disadvantaged_conroy/

NBN the answer to disability and disadvantaged: Conroy

Conroy has claimed the NBN will take down the walls that restrict socially isolated Australians

Communications minister, Senator Stephen Conroy, has sought to position the National Broadband Network (NBN) as a means to connect those who are digitally isolated as a result of age, illness or disability.

Addressing attendees at the National Digital Inclusion Summit, Conroy said the NBN would enable socially isolated Australians to chat, browse and shop, access services and information and connect with their community outside the walls of their home.

“For many isolated Australians the walls or their home define the world, setting the boundaries of their social contact. The internet has the power to dissolve those walls,” Conroy said.

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http://www.news.com.au/national/glitches-delay-school-computer-program/story-e6frfkvr-1226118766112

Glitches delay school computer program

  • From: AAP
  • August 20, 2011 7:43PM

EDUCATION Minister Cameron Dick says its unfair to compare glitches in a new computer system used by Queensland schools with last year's Queensland Health payroll debacle.

Half of the state's public schools have been using the OneSchool computer system to control accounts payable and receivable since the June/July holidays.

It was to be introduced across the state next month but the education department backflipped late on Friday after unions labelled the system a disaster.

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http://smarthouse.com.au/Wireless_And_Networking/Industry/L6E7X4A3

Mosman Kidnapper Has Links To IT World

By David Richards | Wednesday | 17/08/2011

The Australian man arrested by an FBI SWAT team yesterday in Louisville, Kentucky, over the collar-bomb hoax at the Sydney home of the Pulver family, appears to have strong links to the IT world.

Paul "Doug" Peters, 50, is said to have been a director of the ill-fated Allco Finance Group which collapsed in 2008. Allco had been deeply involved in financing the $400 million deal by which Australian e-health company IBA Health acquired iSoft of the UK (and later renamed itself iSoft) – only to collapse and be acquired in recent weeks by CSC of the US.

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http://www.computerworld.com.au/article/397568/cloud_computing_101_risks_cloud_computing_part_1_/

Cloud computing 101: The risks of Cloud computing (Part 1)

Awash with cloudy concepts

As the most hyped concept in IT today, Cloud Computing has taken spin to a whole new level. Vendor marketing is awash with the benefits of Cloud computing with little mention of the pitfalls.

In this three part series Computerworld examines some of the very real risks and shortfalls associated with Cloud Computing and also identifies which areas have the most potential to completely transform the enterprise.

Part One deals with the need for greater Cloud transparency and warns users to be wary of vendor certification claims.

It also examines the rise of DevOps, which is starting to generate a lot of interest. But beware: DevOps isn't the right fit for every enterprise and is better suited to an IT organisation with a high level of maturity. Finally, Part One delves into the concept of Cloudbursting.

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Enjoy!

David.

AusHealthIT Poll Number 84 – Results – 22nd August, 2011.

If EHRs are such a good idea, why aren't they happening all by themselves?

Not A Good Idea

- 5 (10%)

Not In The Interests of Those Who Have To Pay for Them

- 24 (50%)

They Are Only A Good Idea When Too Large To Happen Spontaneously

- 3 (6%)

They Are Already Happening Without Government Funding

- 16 (33%)

Votes 48

Fascinating split outcome - I look forward to comments on what people think it means!

Again, many thanks to those that voted!

David.

Sunday, August 21, 2011

Now Here Is An Article To Give Serious Pause To The Approach Being Adopted With the PCEHR.

Saturday Extra came up with a great report yesterday.

Huge IT cost blow-outs

A study at Oxford University has found that a significant number of major IT projects are 'ticking time bombs' in corporate accounts, they are twenty times more likely than normal projects to spin out of control and the survey data suggests it is almost inevitable that one or more established companies will be brought down by an IT project in the foreseeable future.

Guests

Bent Flyvbjerg
BT Professor and Founding Chair of Major Programme Management at Oxford University's Said Business School

The full page is here:

http://www.abc.net.au/rn/saturdayextra/stories/2011/3297766.htm

(Note the audio links (about 15 mins) just above the title.)

There are a couple of interesting comments that are also available.

The first one has a great first paragraph:

Mark Toomey :

20 Aug 2011 9:52:21am

“This is a long term problem and the findings of the research, while depressing, are consistent with many prior studies. The IT industry has been trying to solve the problem for 20 plus years, through frameworks and tools for management of the projects, but this has had little success. There are many well-documented Australian cases that are in the public domain such as when the Australian Customs Service introduced a new system on 12 October 2005 that effectively blocked almost all imports for more than three weeks, plus the more recent MYKI and HealthSmart in Victoria, TCard in New South Wales and Queensland Health Payroll.”

I agree we have been trying to figure out the root causes and do better with a seemingly intractable problem for a good number of years. There are some wonderful books from the 1990’s entitled things like ‘Computing Calamities’ and ‘Software Runaways’!

I also agree governance of these projects is absolutely crucial for success and for the PCEHR not to have this clearly developed and articulated by now vastly imperils any chance of success.

The source article is freely available from the Harvard Business Review.

Here are the first few paragraphs:

Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier Than You Think

by Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier

To top managers at Levi Strauss, revamping the information technology system seemed like a good idea. The company had come a long way since its founding in the 19th century by a German-born dry-goods salesman: In 2003 it was a global corporation, with operations in more than 110 countries. But its IT network was antiquated, a balkanized mix of incompatible country-specific computer systems. So executives decided to migrate to a single SAP system and hired a team of Deloitte consultants to lead the effort. The risks seemed small: The proposed budget was less than $5 million. But very quickly all hell broke loose. One major customer, Walmart, required that the system interface with its supply chain management system, creating additional hurdles. Insufficient procedures for financial reporting and internal controls nearly forced Levi Strauss to restate quarterly and annual results. During the switchover, it was unable to fill orders and had to close its three U.S. distribution centers for a week. In the second quarter of 2008, the company took a $192.5 million charge against earnings to compensate for the botched project—and its chief information officer, David Bergen, was forced to resign.

A $5 million project that leads to an almost $200 million loss is a classic “black swan.” The term was coined by our colleague Nassim Nicholas Taleb to describe high-impact events that are rare and unpredictable but in retrospect seem not so improbable. Indeed, what happened at Levi Strauss occurs all too often, and on a much larger scale. IT projects are now so big, and they touch so many aspects of an organization, that they pose a singular new risk. Mismanaged IT projects routinely cost the jobs of top managers, as happened to EADS CEO Noël Forgeard. They have sunk whole corporations. Even cities and nations are in peril. Months of relentless IT problems at Hong Kong’s airport, including glitches in the flight information display system and the database for tracking cargo shipments, reportedly cost the economy $600 million in lost business in 1998 and 1999. The CEOs of companies undertaking significant IT projects should be acutely aware of the risks. It will be no surprise if a large, established company fails in the coming years because of an out-of-control IT project. In fact, the data suggest that one or more will.

We reached this bleak conclusion after conducting the largest global study ever of IT change initiatives. We examined 1,471 projects, comparing their budgets and estimated performance benefits with the actual costs and results. They ran the gamut from enterprise resource planning to management information and customer relationship management systems. Most, like the Levi Strauss project, incurred high expenses—the average cost was $167 million, the largest $33 billion—and many were expected to take several years. Our sample drew heavily on public agencies (92%) and U.S.-based projects (83%), but we found little difference between them and projects at the government agencies, private companies, and European organizations that made up the rest of our sample.

The full article is found here:

http://hbr.org/2011/09/why-your-it-project-may-be-riskier-than-you-think/ar/pr

It is important to note that a large proportion of the projects examined are public sector driven just like the PCEHR is.

Of considerable value I think is the second last paragraph:

“Even if their companies pass the stress test, smart managers take other steps to avoid IT black swans. They break big projects down into ones of limited size, complexity, and duration; recognize and make contingency plans to deal with unavoidable risks; and avail themselves of the best possible forecasting techniques—for example, “reference class forecasting,” a method based on the Nobel Prize–winning work of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. These techniques, which take into account the outcomes of similar projects conducted in other organizations, are now widely used in business, government, and consulting and have become mandatory for big public projects in the UK and Denmark.”

You can read more on “reference class forecasting” here:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reference_class_forecasting

If this technique were applied to the PCEHR I guess we would think of the UK NHS Program and the Kaiser Permanente Program as possible comparators among others. On that basis we have not seen anything yet in terms of either cost or time blowouts to actually useful system delivery.

I can only assume the boffins at DoHA are fully across these sort of major project estimation and risk mitigation approaches and that we can all relax.

I sure hope so!

It also seems to me, on the basis of what is written here, that to be steaming along on a totally innovative approach without real proof on concept implementations is just pain foolhardy. The PCEHR is a large and complex project and just should not be rushed at a political whim. If we do the outcome is virtually inevitable - a big mess.

I guess we shall all see - and pretty soon now!

David.

In passing can I add my personal condolences to both the families of the 'Lake Eyre Three' and the family of Ian Carroll - and especially Geraldine Doogue (who hosts Saturday Extra) - in these difficult times. We really forget just how important these people are in our lives.

D.