Quote Of The Year

Timeless Quotes - Sadly The Late Paul Shetler - "Its not Your Health Record it's a Government Record Of Your Health Information"

or

H. L. Mencken - "For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong."

Wednesday, January 11, 2012

This Is A Very Interesting Study of Patient Attitudes To EHR Information Access. Changes Are Coming and The PCEHR is The Wrong Way To Be Going!

The following very interesting report appeared very late last year.

Patients, doctors at odds about sharing medical notes

December 20, 2011 | Bernie Monegain, Editor
BOSTON – Patients are overwhelmingly interested in exploring the notes doctors write about them after an office visit, but doctors worry about the impact of such transparency on their patients and on their own workflow, a Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC) study suggests.
In a study published in the Dec. 20 issue of the Annals of Internal Medicine, patient and doctor attitudes were surveyed extensively prior to the launch of the OpenNotes trial in which patients at BIDMC, Geisinger Health System of Danville, Pa., and Harborview Medical Center in Seattle were offered online access to their doctors’ notes written after office visits. Such notes have long been primarily within the doctors’ domain, even though patients have the legal right to obtain them. 
 “Doctors were divided in many of their expectations, and the issues we highlight have important consequences for both their work life and quality of care,” writes lead author Jan Walker, a nurse with an MBA, who works at BIDMC’s Division of General Medicine and Primary Care.
While many of the more than 100 primary care doctors who volunteered to participate in this experiment predicted possible health benefits from allowing patients to read their notes, the majority of those who declined participation were doubtful about positive impacts. And among the 173 doctors completing surveys, the majority expressed concerns about confusing or worrying patients with the content. Doctors also anticipated they would write their notes less candidly and that responding to patient questions might be exceedingly time-consuming.
In contrast to the doctors surveyed, the nearly 38,000 patients who completed the baseline survey were almost uniformly optimistic about OpenNotes, and few anticipated being confused or worried.
“The enthusiasm of patients exceeded our expectations,” wrote Walker. “Most of them were overwhelmingly positive about the prospect of reading visit notes, regardless of demographic or health characteristics.”
More here:
Here is the Abstract from the Annals of Internal Medicine:

Patient Interest in Sharing Personal Health Record Information

A Web-Based Survey

  1. Donna M. Zulman, MD, MS;
  2. Kim M. Nazi, MA;
  3. Carolyn L. Turvey, PhD, MS;
  4. Todd H. Wagner, PhD;
  5. Susan S. Woods, MD, MPH; and
  6. Larry C. An, MD

Abstract

Background: Electronic personal health record (PHR) systems are proliferating but largely have not realized their potential for enhancing communication among patients and their network of care providers.
Objective: To explore preferences about sharing electronic health information among users of the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) PHR system, My HealtheVet.
Design: Web-based survey of a convenience sample.
Setting: My HealtheVet Web site from 7 July through 4 October 2010.
Participants: 18 471 users of My HealtheVet.
Measurements: Interest in shared PHR access and preferences about who would receive access, the information that would be shared, and the activities that users would delegate.
Results: Survey respondents were predominantly men (92%) and aged 50 to 64 years (51%) or 65 years or older (39%); approximately 39% reported poor or fair health status. Almost 4 of 5 respondents (79%) were interested in sharing access to their PHR with someone outside of their health system (62% with a spouse or partner, 23% with a child, 15% with another family member, and 25% with a non-VA health care provider). Among those who selected a family member other than a spouse or partner, 47% lived apart from the specified person. Preferences about degree of access varied on the basis of the type of information being shared, the type of activity being performed, and the respondent's relationship with the selected person.
Limitations: The survey completion rate was 40.8%. Results might not be generalizable to all My HealtheVet users.
Conclusion: In a large survey of PHR users in the VA system, most respondents were interested in sharing access to their electronic health information with caregivers and non-VA providers. Existing and evolving PHR systems should explore secure mechanisms for shared PHR access to improve information exchange among patients and the multiple persons involved in their health care.
Primary Funding Source: Veterans Health Administration and The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Clinical Scholars Program.
The full paper is linked from here (.pdf is free):
There is also an editorial found here:
Again the .pdf of the full text is free.
The writers of the editorial have some experience in their own organisation over a number of years doing a similar thing with generally very positive results.
It is important to note the large number questions raised by the editorial. Issues of access, interpretation, understanding and use are all open. They also make it clear that this is at the beginning of a long journey.
This type of information access is, of course, the direction I have been pushing for a good while now, with the provider providing access for their patients to their records. It is worth remembering a number of GP Practices in the UK are doing very similar things.
This trend has also been made quite clear by an article appearing in E-Health Insider yesterday.

Future Forum calls for access plan

10 January 2012   Rebecca Todd
The NHS Future Forum has said the government needs to develop a plan to deliver on its commitment to give patients access to their online records by 2015.
The forum’s summary report – second phase was due to be released onto the Department of Health website at midnight.
Hints of what it contained led to a flurry of media interest in the issue of patient records access in the days before Christmas.
NHS Future Forum chairman Professor Steve Field says in the report that citizens should be equal partners in their care, rather than passive consumers, and that a key part of this is patient ownership of their data.
The government has already made a number of commitments to giving patients access to records and other data.
It’s ‘Information Revolution’ consultation on a new NHS information strategy said patient access to records should start with GP records and then extend to hospital and other medical records.
In his Autumn Statement, Chancellor George Osborne said that all patients should have access to their online GP records by the end of this Parliament – 2015.
The NHS Future Forum supports that commitment and says the information strategy must clearly set out how this will be achieved, “recognising that there is both a financial and time burden to GP practices and by providing meaningful help and support to them.”
Professor Field says the Royal College of General Practitioners, in partnership with the British Medical Association, NHS Commissioning Board and relevant patient organisations, should be invited by the Department of Health to “develop a plan that delivers the roll-out of access to patient records by 2015.”
“Switching on patient access alone is not enough, and potentially detrimental if appropriate support structures are not in place for patients so that they understand and know how to use the information,” he says.
“The planned rollout of patient access to electronic records by the government must acknowledge this and ensure that a support structure is in place, including a proper consent process.”
More here:
So what we are seeing is a move in the US and UK to provision of access to provider records directly in consultation with that provider and with direct interaction with the consumer
This is just not what the planned PCEHR will enable and will mean the patient cannot build a direct relationship with the EHR managed, curated and delivered by their provider and be supported by them.
I think this is a major directional change and has the possibility to improve clinician / patient engagement and the quality of care. Only time and further experience will tell.
The PCEHR is just a dead end on this path and the concept is just obsolete.
David.

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

A Press Release That Conceals A Rather Large Problem. The Dominant GP System Provider Is Apparently Not Engaged With The PCEHR!

The following release appeared late last year.

iSOFT Demonstrates Progress at the NEHTA GP Desktop Vendor Panel

Monday, December 19, 2011 - iSOFT a CSC Company
Presenting at the NEHTA GP Desktop Vendor Panel on 6 December 2011, iSOFT demonstrated progress in preparing the practiX software to communicate health information according to the new NEHTA eHealth specifications.
Sydney, NSW – Earlier this month, iSOFT, a CSC company, presented at the National E-Health Transition Authority (NEHTA) GP Desktop Vendors Panel in Sydney. The purpose of the meeting was to review the progress of the six vendors participating in the project to prepare GP practice management software to communicate with hospital and specialist systems as part of the Federal Government’s PCEHR project. The first milestones in the project are to enable the applications to look up Individual Health Identifiers (IHI), accept discharge information and specialist letters – foundational elements of the Australian Government’s eHealth agenda.
Presenting along with iSOFT at the NEHTA panel were GP desktop vendors; Best Practice, Communicare, Genie, Medtech and Zedmed. Vendors demonstrated or explained the work they had been doing to enable their GP desktop systems to communicate health information according to the NEHTA specifications.
Each vendor showed evidence of progress against NEHTA’s milestones in preparation for implementation at the first GP sites early in 2012.
“As our eHealth solutions span primary, community, aged and tertiary care, we felt it was important to take an open and health system wide approach to meeting the NEHTA specifications. Using our iSOFT HIE Suite we are building interoperable components, that can work across iSOFT solutions and that are available to any application following the same NEHTA specifications,” explained James Rice, iSOFT APAC Managing Director.
“This open approach is of great advantage to state governments looking to implement Individual Healthcare Identifiers (IHI) across a health care system. Using iSOFT’s open Health Information Exchange (HIE) architecture, state departments of health will be able to identify and manage patients across multiple eHealth systems.”
Talking about the wider effort at iSOFT to achieve connectivity between applications, iSOFT’s Rice said, “Most recently we have used our HIE Suite to also enable our widely implemented Patient Management System (i.PM) for the HI without the need for customers to upgrade the core product. This is another example of the agility such a solution provides iSOFT and our customers.”
All vendors have now met the Wave I Release 1 requirements for use of healthcare identifiers. In addition to identifiers, iSOFT has achieved CCA conformance testing for the Secure Message Delivery (SMD) functionality. The SMD capability is part of the Release 2 functionality due 31 January, 2012.
iSOFT demonstrated the practiX GP desktop software interacting with the Medicare Individual Healthcare Identifier (IHI) database to retrieve a new 16-digit IHI number and associate it with a specific patient record. This functionality is the basis for the national eHealth reforms as it enables the secure sharing of health data across health care sectors.
The full release is here:
What is interesting in this release is this list.
Here are the vendors who were involved.
·         Best Practice (BP)
·         Communicare
·         Genie
·         Medtech
·         Zedmed
·         and iSoft themselves.
The reason this is important is what is missing - Medical Director is not there!
In terms of market share I believe BP is now up to a little over 20% of the market and that the others are a good deal lower - please correct me if I am wrong.
Figures from a year or so back - and they are pretty hard to come by for obvious commercial reasons suggest - roughly the following:
MD (Version 2 and 3) - 35-45%
Pracsoft - Around 20-30% (MD Financials etc)
Best Practice - Around 20%
Medtech - Around 5%
Genie - Around 7-15%
ZedMed - Around 5%
Practix - Around 10%
Let me know if any of these figures are off!
The bottom line is that MD is at least 40% and probably closer to 50% so to not have them involved is just commercial stupidity on the part of NEHTA and DoHA.
I wonder just what is going on behind the scenes here?
David.

AusHealthIT Poll Number 103 – Results – 10th January, 2012.

The question was:
How Well Do You Think The PCEHR Program is Being Managed / Delivered?
Just Fabulously
- 1 (4%)
Sort of OK
-  0 (0%)
Not Very Well
- 6 (25%)
Just Awfully
-  17 (70%)
Votes 24
It appears that all except one reader thinks things are dreadful - hopeless that!.
Again, many thanks to those that voted!
David.

Monday, January 09, 2012

Submissions to The Senate PCEHR Enquiry Are Beginning To Be Made Public!

The following page is now active.

Personally Controlled Electronic Health Records Bill 2011 and one related bill

Submissions received by the Committee

The following link is useful to keep a close eye on what is being published.
I note - as of 10pm 09/01/2012 - we already have material from the following to be browsed.

Sub No.

1               National Rural Health Alliance (PDF 56KB) 
2               National E-Health Transition Authority (PDF 750KB) 
3               Associate Professor Terry Hannan (PDF 170KB) 
4               CSC Healthcare (PDF 517KB) 
5               HealthLink Ltd (PDF 674KB) 
6               The Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Radiologists (PDF 113KB) 
I am sure more will follow in coming days. May be even mine! There is already some good reading.
Submission close on 12/01/2012 so not much time is left to have your say.
Enjoy checking back regularly.
David.

Weekly Australian Health IT Links – 9th January, 2012.

Here are a few I have come across the last week or so.
Note: Each link is followed by a title and a few paragraphs. For the full article click on the link above title of the article. Note also that full access to some links may require site registration or subscription payment.

General Comment

Well some of us are back, and the new year is well and truly underway. I have tried to summarise the last few weeks.
Interestingly the climate seems to have changed.
When even the NEHTA sponsored bloggers are saying that maybe some more time should be allowed to elapse to get things right - while not yet accepting the PCEHR design may be deeply flawed - it is an interesting straw in the wind.
The next few months will surely tell and we can expect some ‘moving of the goal posts’ to be happening real soon now!
Happy and safe New Year to all!
-----

Time is running out on e-records, says GP body

  • by: Adam Cresswell, Health editor
  • From: The Australian
  • December 19, 2011 12:00AM
AUSTRALIA'S leading GP organisation is warning time is running out for the federal government to explain how the system of electronic health records due to launch in July will work, with doctors now facing a "very, very tight" timetable to get it running.
The Royal Australian College of General Practitioners, which represents 18,000 GPs nationally, is seeking an urgent meeting with new federal Health Minister Tanya Plibersek to discuss the problem, saying doctors now have no chance of getting the six-month head start they had requested to train staff and plan.
The Australian Medical Association is also seeking a meeting with Ms Plibersek, saying there were "still serious concerns about how (electronic records) are going to apply".
-----

Who can access your e-health record?

Plenty, but nobody specifically.

Australia’s Department of Health has refused to name which government authorities will be able to view a citizen's eHealth record, in an otherwise detailed response to a Privacy Impact Assessment of the PCEHR (Personally Controlled Electronic Health Record) scheme.
Access by law enforcement authorities was among a long list of issues explored in a Privacy Impact Assessment [pdf], prepared by law firm Minter Ellison and former deputy NSW Privacy Commissioner Anna Johnston. The report recommended 112 changes to the legislation and the technology that underpins the PCEHR system, currently under development.
The Department of Health has now accepted 75 of the 112 recommendations, accepting 20 more “in principle”, six more “in part”, “supporting” two”, and rejecting eight more, with one still under consideration.
-----

E-health privacy under the microscope

By Suzanne Tindal, ZDNet.com.au on January 3rd, 2012
What worries you most about the government's personally controlled e-health record (PCEHR) plan? Is it the cost of implementation? Is it the fact that there's not a lot of incentive for doctors to take it up? Or is it the fact that if not implemented properly, it could be a privacy nightmare?
With doctors for parents, I know what would be concerning them the most. Doctors can be fanatical about privacy, and with good reason.
At the end of December, a report by Lawyers Minter Ellison and Salinger Privacy was released by the Department of Health and Ageing into the privacy implications of the legislation enabling the government's PCEHR plan, which hopes to provide every consenting Australian with an electronic medical record by 2012. The Department of Health and Ageing has also provided its responses to the recommendations in the report (PDF).
-----

E-health trials exclude us: Rural Health

By Josh Taylor, ZDNet.com.au on January 4th, 2012
The implementation sites trialling Personally Controlled E-Health Records (PCEHR) has left out rural Australia because it's less of a challenge, according to the National Rural Health Alliance.
While the group is supportive of the government's $466 million e-health program because of the benefits it would bring to rural communities, it has raised concerns with the approach the implementation has taken at this point.
In March last year, then-Health Minister Nicola Roxon announced $55 million in funding for nine lead implementation sites in places such as Sydney, Brisbane, Melbourne, Geelong, the Hunter Valley, the ACT and the Northern Territory, in addition to three existing sites that started in 2010.
-----

Toddlers, touch screens and the parents' dilemma

SHE can barely talk, but 21-month-old Zahlee Robinson has no problems with her iPad. With sisters Chloee, 4, and Sophee, 5, she is a very early adopter of the touchscreen technology that is revolutionising the way children, as well as adults, connect to the world.
Their mother, Cheree Robinson, admits she gets the occasional disapproving looks when people see her daughters using their iPad and iPods in public, but she's enthusiastic about the educational apps that are already teaching them how to spell and add up. Not to mention the iPad's value as a "portable baby-sitter".
-----

Rural doctors reach for Skype

Tim Barlass
January 8, 2012
RURAL doctors received $7.2 million from the federal government for software to enable them to communicate more easily with specialists, but some found downloading Skype was a better option for them.
Since the launch of the federal scheme six months ago, 1200 doctors across Australia have applied for one-off $6000 grants, which were part of the government's $620 million ''telehealth'' program.
But the head of a private nursing service that took part in the scheme said doctors who downloaded various paid software programs found they were not compatible.
''It's a great … initiative but the doctors should have been provided with more support and guidance about how to implement the technology,'' the chief executive of Hunter Nursing, David du Plessis, said.
-----

Patients log on to stay out of hospital

Tim Barlass
January 8, 2012
ELDERLY patients given medical equipment to monitor their health on the internet go to hospital only half as often, a trial has found.
Fifty patients in NSW with an average age of 87, suffering serious heart or lung conditions requiring regular hospital stays, were chosen for the six-month trial last year.
Each was given a ''medibox'' linked to the broadband network so they could regularly type in details of their blood pressure, heart rate, blood oxygen and weight. Any change in condition was spotted by a doctor earlier than through less-frequent visits to a GP, the trial found, allowing for the quicker introduction of preventative treatment.
-----

Health groups fear 'sky-high' data fees for Medicare Locals

  • by: Adam Cresswell, Health Editor
  • From: The Australian
  • December 29, 2011 12:00AM
THE $416 million network of Medicare Locals is under a further cloud amid revelations the organisations could be forced to pay more than $100,000 a year in fees to the federal Health Department simply to access the data they need to carry out their role.
Some experts estimate that without a climbdown the fees, based on the rates Medicare Australia charges commercial clients for providing breakdowns of its data, could devour as much as one-third of the cash Medicare Locals will have to improve the health status of their populations.
-----

E-records a costly experiment

19 December, 2011 Jo Hartley
A leading e-health expert has cautioned that the government’s national electronic records program could end up being a “very expensive white elephant” with few clinicians and patients signing up to it.
Dr David More issued the warning in his submission to the Senate Community Affairs Committee’s Enquiry on Personally Controlled Electronic Health Records (Consequential Amendments) Bill 2011 and the Personally Controlled health Records Bill 2011.
Posted on Dr More’s blog, the submission points out that the $466.7 million PCEHR project was being introduced without any pilot, and with no evidence that it would make any significant difference to patient safety and clinical outcomes.
-----

Ex-Fonterra chief Andrew Ferrier invests in Orion Health

  • by: Karen Dearne
  • From: Australian IT
  • December 21, 2011 12:00AM
HIGH-PROFILE New Zealand businessman Andrew Ferrier has joined Kiwi medical software firm Orion Health as an investor with a seat on the board.
Mr Ferrier stepped down as chief executive of the country's multinational dairy co-operative, Fonterra, in September.
He expects to take an active role as a director, and has taken a "significant stake" in the business through his family investment company, Canz Capital.
-----

Paving the way for eHealth

Published on Thu, 22/12/2011, 03:40:33
The government is courting aged care software vendors and industry representatives ahead of the introduction of personally controlled eHealth records.
Last weekend, the National E-health Transition Authority (NEHTA) called for expressions of interest from aged care industry software vendors to join a panel and work together on the transition to the new standards set by the authority.
A statement from NEHTA said financial assistance would be provided to “successful panellists” to help them upgrade software products to the right specifications, and that vendors would need to have developed working solutions by June 2012.
-----

Nehta courts aged care sector

  • by: Karen Dearne
  • From: Australian IT
  • December 20, 2011 12:00AM
AGED care software vendors have been asked to urgently prepare the sector for adoption of the Gillard government's e-health records system by June next year.
On the weekend, the National E-Health Transition Authority called for expressions of interest from aged care software developers to "establish a vendor panel" to support current and future e-health implementations.
"Financial assistance will be provided to successful panelists, who will be required to upgrade their existing software to provide the required functionality to meet Nehta specifications," Nehta said.
-----

State health chief to quit

Josh Gordon and Julia Medew
December 21, 2011
VICTORIA'S top health bureaucrat has resigned, dismissing as ''absolute crap'' any speculation the government's handling of the nurses industrial dispute or public sector job losses was the reason.
In a cryptically worded message to staff, Health Department secretary Fran Thorn yesterday announced that she would be departing on January 19, but provided no explanation for her decision.
''I am not leaving because of the proverbial 'better offer' - it would be hard to better this job - but because I have concluded that for a range of reasons, it is the right time for me to leave,'' Ms Thorn said. ''This is a bittersweet decision for me.''
-----

New interactive platform puts health data at your fingertips

19 December 2011
NSW Health has launched a new interactive web-based application that puts health data at your fingertips.
Health Statistics NSW allows users to access data and tailor reports about the health of the New South Wales population for their own use.
The new technology is the first of its type in Australia and puts New South Wales ahead in making information on the health of the population widely available in an interactive way through the internet.
The application allows users to find data easily, visualise and interpret data and produce customised reports.
-----

E-health test site kicks off eDischarge pilot

A Katoomba-based hospital will share electronic discharge summaries with GPs and vice versa
A Katoomba-based hospital has kicked off a trial under which it will share electronic discharge summaries with GPs and vice versa, ahead of the Federal Government’s Personally Controlled Electronic Health Record (PCEHR) launch in July 2011.
The trial is being conducted by the Greater Western Sydney (GWS) PCEHR lead implementation site and was funded by the Department of Health and Ageing (DoHA) and the National e-Health Transition Authority (NeHTA).
It will be conducted between the Blue Mountains District Anzac Memorial Hospital and local GPs. The test site will be led by a consortium including Nepean Blue Mountains Local Health District, Western Sydney Local Health District, Westmead children's hospital, WentWest (Western Sydney Medicare Local), the Nepean, Blue Mountains and Hawkesbury-Hills Divisions of General Practice.
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HINZ 2011 - Presentations and Papers

Photos and Videos

Video recordings of the plenary sessions and some presentations are now available on Vimeo.
Some photos are now available on Flickr.
To see the photos from a particular event, select one of the following:
Copies of photos are available from Pix Ltd. Note down the file name under each photo and email your list.

Presentations

Most presentations from the HINZ 2011 Conference are now available in Slideshare.
If you would like a copy of any of the presentations, please contact the author directly.

Papers

All papers in the Conference Proceedings are available for download below.
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Enjoy!
David.

Sunday, January 08, 2012

Welcome To 2012! - Normal Service Returns and A Few Predictions For the Year!


First of all welcome to all those who choose to tag along for what is going to be as interesting year as we are likely to see in a long while in e-Health!
I hope the year is a happy and prosperous one.
I was thinking it might be fun to pop up a few predictions for the following year and see how close I can be to what actually happens. So here goes!

PCEHR Related Predictions.

1. The presently proposed PCEHR Legislation will see more than a few changes before it gets passed if it actually does get through.
2. The Senate Community Affairs Committee Report on the PCEHR will wind up producing a split report - along party lines - with Labor saying all it needs is a little tweak or two and the Liberals saying it needs some major change. The Greens will have some concerns also if history is any guide.
3. The scope of what is actually delivered on July 1, 2012 will be a shadow of what was planned a year or two ago.
Comments like the following from an insider make it utterly clear!
“Anonymous said...
Being involved in one of the "lead site" projects for this, here are my observations:
The project is being run with only minimal basic project management principles.
Outcomes are vague, no real analysis of the current state has been done, and no methods are proposed to measure if the outcomes are achieved.
The lead site project I am involved with is being run for the benefit of the vendor, not the client or the public.
Basic project documentation such as a business case, business requirements, functional spec, etc are either non-existent, or so vague as to be useless
Time frames are artificial and unachievable given the current situation. If anyone says anything else, then they are in denial or worse. Something may be delivered in the time frame, but it will not be what is required, and will not achieve the outcomes required.”
Expect to see success and the scope of the PCEHR Program re-defined.
4. At some point there will be a major, but probably not disclosed, set of contractual revisions on most of the Implementation Partner Contracts.
5. There will be some form of review of the whole e-Health direction and levels of investment under the new Health Minister. This may or may not ever become public but the effect will be pretty clear - remember when the HealthConnect Program became a “Change Management Strategy” in 2005!
6. The absurdity of the pressured “Tiger Team” approach to specification delivery for the PCEHR will become increasingly apparent and the relationship between SA, IT-14 will become very strained and may break down entirely with so few SA volunteers staying to contribute.

NEHTA Related Predictions.

1. Actual implementation of NEHTA’s products will remain both slow and largely unused.
2. At least 2 of the State Jurisdictions will make very unhappy noises privately to DoHA and NEHTA about not getting value for money and indicating a desire to stop paying their ongoing contributions.
3. Substantial adoption and actual use of SNOMED-CT and AMT will continue to be a “while off” in 2012.
4. NEHTA’s Secure Messaging will continue to have very limited adoption in the real world.
5. As revealed in the most recent NEHTA Blueprint - we will still have quite a long wait for the widespread adoption of the National Authentication System for Health (NASH) - even by the end of 2102.
6. There will be some substantial issues with industrial relations and contractual arrangements become public during the year.
7. A new Governance Framework / Role / Leadership will emerge in 2012 with improved accountability and transparency.
8. The tight financial leash in which NEHTA is being held by DoHA will tighten in 2012.
9. There will be significant trimming of the NEHTA PR Budget and staff.

DoHA Related Predictions.

1. The e-Health Function of DoHA and NEHTA will be merged into a new - and separate - e-Health management and delivery entity.
2. Senate Estimates Committee meetings will become more ‘hard-nosed’ in the e-Health space.
3. There will be some career casualties because of the under delivery of the PCEHR program.

State Health System Related Predictions.

1. There will be ongoing issues with e-Health in Queensland Health over the year.
2. Reviews of State Hospital Systems Health IT will continue to happen and will continue to somehow remain ‘secret’. I wonder what the review of NSW Health IT revealed.
3. State Hospital supply chain automation will continue to lag other industries by years if not decades.
4. We will have a range of press releases from various States announcing plans and programs for the next few years which somehow always seem to slip.
5. Tasmania will admit they can’t do anything useful with so few staff in the Health IT area and start hiring again.

Health IT Industry Related Predictions.

1. Relationships between NEHTA / DoHA and industry will continue to be difficult.
2. There will be a number of failures of small companies in the e-Health space as the industry is ‘hollowed out’ by a rampant Government Sector that picks winners and penalises the others.
3. Some of those involved in the various Wave 1 and 2 sites will discover they have actually drunk of a ‘poison chalice’ in the form of NEHTA and DoHA.

Clinician Related Predictions.

1. The political representatives of clinicians will harden their attitudes to imposed additional workloads related to e-Health Initiatives that are not reasonably compensated.
2. Clinician frustration with poor leadership, governance and delivery in the e-Health domain will become increasingly apparent over 2012.

Consumer Related Predictions.

1. Voluntary registrations for a PCEHR will be quite low and usage of the system - if actually implemented will be very low for the whole of 2012
2. Consumer confidence in e-Health will be badly damaged by over-promising and under-delivery by the PCEHR program.
I look forward to readers adding their own ideas as to what 2012 holds!
David.