Quote Of The Year

Timeless Quotes - Sadly The Late Paul Shetler - "Its not Your Health Record it's a Government Record Of Your Health Information"

or

H. L. Mencken - "For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong."

Thursday, March 08, 2018

The Macro View – Health, Financial And Political News Relevant To E-Health And The Health Sector In General.

March 8, 2018 Edition.
There was really only one big bit of news this week with the Donald announcing punitive import tariffs on Steel and Aluminium.
Markets tanked and there was talk in Australia of a recession by the Trade Minister.
The received wisdom is that this plan is a wholly bad idea on Trump’s part – so we need to see how it plays out. Right now it looks to be a negotiating tactic on the NAFTA re-do!
In Australia it seems pretty clear our politicians have mostly gone off the reservation with a lack of interest in good policy and a ramped up interest in personal abuse etc. God help us all unless some sanity returns and quickly but I am hardly hopeful!
And to top it off, over last weekend Barnaby has wondered if the new child he is having is his? A ‘bit of a grey area’ he says. WTF! How nice for his new partner and the child……
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Here are a few other things I have noticed.
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Major Issues.

Buffett warns that safe-looking bonds can be risky

Noah Buhayar and Katherine Chiglinsky
Published: February 25 2018 - 10:47AM
Sometimes the best lessons are worth repeating.
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett used his widely read annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders on Saturday to again call out the wasteful fees that many money managers charge. He highlighted the risk of bonds and emphasised the importance of sticking with a simple investment strategy.
"Performance comes, performance goes," Buffett wrote. "Fees never falter."
The letter was notably shorter than in years past, at 17 pages versus 29 in the 2016 version, and didn't include commentary on some of the company's largest stock holdings.
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Malcolm Turnbull backs Donald Trump's new North Korea sanctions

David Crowe
Published: February 25 2018 - 2:07PM
Malcolm Turnbull is backing Donald Trump’s tough new sanctions against North Korea but will not say whether he will commit naval support for the measures, amid reports the Australian navy could join the program.
The Prime Minister said Australia needed to be “alert” to the way the
North Korean regime of Kim Jong-un was flouting existing sanctions by transferring goods between ships at sea.
“We have discussed a number of means of sanctions and enforcement against North Korea,” Mr Turnbull said in his last public remarks in Washington before returning to Canberra.
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Soaring household debt points to a mortgage crisis on our doorstep

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM February 24, 2018

Roger Montgomery

There is always one theme common to the vast number of crises the world has experienced; excessive debt accumulation.
Irrespective of whether it is by the government, banks, businesses or consumers, this accumulation of debt almost always poses greater systemic risk than it seems during the boom.
It makes banks seem far more stable and profitable than they are, while the injection of cash makes the growth that results look more sustainable than it really is.
Borrowing binges that precede a crisis are, however, often dismissed or explained away by policymakers and commentators.
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Why keeping your landline is a waste of money

By Angus Kidman
Updated 27 July 2017 — 1:42pm first published at 12:46pm
​Australians remain surprisingly keen on landline phones, but if you're paying for one then you're probably spending money unnecessarily.
More than half of us (55 per cent) still have a landline, according to a recent finder.com.au survey of 2005 Australians.
Given the choice, though, we'll nearly always opt to call with our mobile phone instead. Just 29 per cent of us say that we use our landline phone regularly, and 13 per cent of us have a landline but never use it.
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Outdated rule puts brakes on billions in infrastructure projects, says Grattan

By Peter Martin
25 February 2018 — 6:49pm
An outdated financing rule is forcing Australian governments to turn their backs on tens of billions of dollars of economically viable infrastructure investments, according to a new study by the Grattan Institute that urges the “unfreezing of discount rates”.
A discount rate is the annual rate at which future costs and benefits are downplayed in preparing benefit-cost studies. Because many infrastructure projects have big upfront costs balanced by benefits that take place many years into the future, a high discount rate will make projects appear unviable even if they could be comfortably financed at current interest rates.
The Grattan Institute says the common rate used by Infrastructure Australia and state and federal governments hasn’t been adjusted for 30 years, except during the global financial crisis when it was briefly lowered to allow projects that would have been declared unviable to get the go ahead in order to deliver economic stimulus.
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Unfreezing discount rates: transport infrastructure for tomorrow

25 Feb 2018
Description
Australian governments can borrow money more cheaply today than at any time in their history. The combination of cheap money and booming population growth has led to regular calls for more investment in transport infrastructure; with money so cheap, it is easier than ever for a project to generate a return that is greater than the cost of borrowing.
And yet Australian governments have been remarkably consistent in sticking with a 7 per cent central ‘discount rate’. Real borrowing rates are one of the key components of the discount rate, yet whether they have been 8 per cent or 1 per cent, government agencies have chosen to keep their discount rates at 7 per cent since at least 1989.
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Indebted SMSFs a danger to the financial system: Industry Super

By Peter Martin
Updated 26 February 2018 — 7:17am first published at 12:05am
Self-managed super funds are adding fuel to Australia’s boom/bust property cycle and setting themselves up for big losses when the market retreats, an Industry Super analysis has found.
The analysis of Tax Office returns finds that in the year to June 2016, self-managed super funds with assets of less than $50,000 lost an average of 16.7 per cent and failed to achieve any gains between 2009 and 2016. The self-managed sector as a whole made 2.9 per cent in the year to June 2016, well below the 4.1 per cent achieved by industry funds.
Three in every five funds with balances up to $100,000 had 80 per cent or more of the funds invested in a single asset class, likely to be cash, term deposits, domestic listed shares or property.
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Tony Abbott's economic argument against immigration is flawed

By Jessica Irvine
25 February 2018 — 8:13pm
Former Prime Minister Tony Abbott graduated with a bachelor's degree in economics from the University of Sydney in 1979.
But having since derided the dismal science as "boring", it appears he may have snoozed off at a crucial point in his lectures.
In a speech to the Sydney Institute last Tuesday, Abbott explained his logic behind his call for a reduction in Australia's annual rate of immigration from 190,000 to 110,000 a year.
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Banks ‘belong to you’ campaign is a stretch

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM February 26, 2018

Adam Creighton

For sheer hubris it’s hard to go past the “Australian Banks Belong to You” campaign — the Australian Bankers Association effort to soothe community anger against banks during a potentially incendiary royal commission.
You would have had to have lived under a rock not to have been reassured by Gracie, a Westpac ­receptionist for 33 years, that banks don’t keep all their profit: “Nearly 80 per cent go back to shareholders. The majority of those shareholders are everyday Australians.”
“Australian bank profits belong to Australians,” chimes in Jake, a home-loan specialist at SA Bank, while Wesley, a branch manager at National Australia Bank, tells us that the profits go to “everyday Australians”.
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CRISPR will save lives - and technology can't come soon enough

By Fahad Ali
25 February 2018 — 4:34pm
Humans have been tinkering with genes for as long we know. It’s why we have edible bananas instead of bulbous things with hard seeds, or corn that looks like corn and not grass. Well before the discovery of the gene, we’ve been breeding them in and out of plants and animals with absolutely no way of knowing what our introduced modifications do, where they end up in the genome, or how they might affect the environment.
Here’s the paradox: modern gene technology is far less genetically invasive – and much better understood – than the time-worn practice of selective breeding, and yet so many of us live in fear of genetically modified organisms. Instead of adding, removing, or reshuffling thousands of unknown genes in order to breed traits in or out of organisms, we’re now able to act on just one well-characterised gene with precision.
We didn’t need high-powered biotech to create dachshunds or bulldogs from ancestral wolves. The same breeding techniques that gave us virtually all of the food we now eat also has given our companions a predisposition to spinal problems and breathing difficulties.
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Sports rights bubble shows signs of bursting

By John McDuling
25 February 2018 — 5:26pm
Less than two weeks ago, sports executives around the world received a nasty shock.
The incredibly popular English Premier League auctioned off most of its broadcast rights for games between 2019 and 2022. And for the first time in recent memory (ever?), the world's richest domestic soccer tournament didn't achieve a gigantic increase, or any increase at all, on the amount it gets from broadcasters.
For TV industry bean counters, it was a nice surprise, albeit superficial, since the structural forces underpinning the outcome were hardly encouraging.
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Julie Bishop says indefinite leadership of Xi Jinping 'China's affair'

By David Wroe
26 February 2018 — 2:54pm
Foreign Minister Julie Bishop has refused to buy into China’s clearing the way for President Xi Jinping to stay in power indefinitely, describing Mr Xi as “a very effective leader” and saying the nation’s constitution is its own business.
Ms Bishop has also brushed aside questions on Australia’s carrying out naval patrols to challenge Beijing’s claims over artificial islands in the South China Sea, joining Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull in refusing to comment on “operational matters”.
In a move that international commentators say consolidates Mr Xi as the most powerful Chinese leader since Mao Zedong, the Chinese Communist Party has flagged scrapping a rule that puts a two-term - or 10 year - limit on the presidency.

Talking points

  • Julie Bishop says Xi Jinping has been a "very effective leader".
  • Mr Xi could remain China's president indefinitely under proposed changes.
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Don't be so sure about the best way to get a good job

By Ross Gittins
28 February 2018 — 12:05am
If you had a youngster leaving school, what would you encourage them to do? Get a job, go to university, or see if there was some trade that might interest them? For a growing number of parents, that's a no-brainer: off to uni with you. But maybe there should be more engaging of brains.
It's widely assumed that, these days, any reasonably secure, decently paid career must start with a university degree.
Don't be so sure. The latest projections by the federal Department of Employment (since renamed by Malcolm Turnbull's spin doctors as the Department of Jobs and Small Business) are for total employment to grow by 950,000 over the five years to 2022.
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Honorary doctorates can leave real students feeling a little miffed

By Mitchell Landrigan
26 February 2018 — 11:00pm
In early February, Adam Spencer announced to his 85,000 Twitter followers that he was about to become “Dr Spencer”. Edith Cowan University in Western Australia awarded Spencer the degree of Doctor of Science honoris causa, in recognition of Spencer’s “passionate promotion of mathematics and science … for Australians of all ages”.
Spencer has never completed a research-based doctorate. Yet, Spencer has, without doubt, made the complexities of mathematics and science accessible to thousands of people who might otherwise take no interest. He is, by any measure, an excellent choice for such an honorary award.
Conferring an honorary doctorate on a well-recognised recipient does two things for a university. First, it gives the institution recognition – publicity – through a publicised affiliation. Secondly, universities need to attract talented students, staff and funds. Conferring a doctorate on a high-profile figure promotes the institution at little cost.
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A rush to judgement won't benefit Australia in South China Sea dispute

By Nicholas Stuart
28 February 2018 — 12:15am
An enduring feature of our Facebook-driven world appears to be a new enthusiasm for binary divisions. There's no room for grey. Everything's quickly divided and categorised as either black or white; good or bad.
Algorithms push us away from civilised discourse and towards extremes. Instead of attempting to find common ground and some shared facts from which we can move forward together, the clamour of shrill, shouting voices occupies the civic space as each side attempts to drown the other out.
Unfortunately, attempts to bifurcate debate inevitably result in pointless conflict – exactly as is happening in the South China Sea at the moment.
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Banks not highly profitable, says Westpac CFO

  • AAP
  • 12:33PM February 28, 2018
Westpac’s chief financial officer has told the Productivity Commission that Australian banks are not highly profitable just because they make large profits.
Peter King has told the commission’s inquiry into competition in the financial industry that the $31.5 billion of profit amassed by Australia’s big four banks in their last full financial year were due to their size and efficiency, and that Westpac’s return on equity has fallen more than 40 per cent in the past decade.
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Feb 28 2018 at 9:25 AM

Six takeaways from Fed chairman Jerome Powell's testimony: Mohamed El-Erian

by Mohamed A. El-Erian
In a wide-ranging discussion with lawmakers on the House Financial Services Committee, Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell painted a relatively optimistic picture of the US economy, even as he pointed to balanced risks to the "strong" outlook.
He dampened concerns about negative spillover effects to the economy from the recent spike in market volatility, reiterated prior policy guidance for a further "gradual increase" in policy interest rates, and signalled his commitment to cognitive diversity to enhance good decision-making. More specifically:
Powell observed that accelerating US expansion is occurring during a "moment of global growth", when headwinds have shifted to tailwinds. This is reinforcing the domestic pro-growth impact of favourable consumption and business investment, stronger sentiment and sales, and more stimulative fiscal policy.
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'No time to pretend to be Warren Buffett': 2018 outlook for investors

By Marcus Padley
27 February 2018 — 4:30pm
November 11, 2007. September 21, 1987. Two dates that stick in the minds of some of us. They both marked significant peaks in the equity market. It is too early to call it but I am now wondering whether January 10, 2018 might not live in memory a bit longer as well. That was the recent top of the Australian market.
Why did the market peak on all these days? It is a very multifaceted conundrum, but they did, and the one thing they had in common was that the market had run extra hard in the prior year or more. But go back and read the news headlines on those days, and you will not find anything of any long-term significance that would indicate a top. These moments are only identifiable in hindsight. They were, in my book, “herd” moments, moments when the herd change direction. You can not predict them, but you can respond to them.
January 10, 2018 is no big deal so far. More likely than not it will amount to little more than another medium-term top like April, 11 2011, April 28, 2015 or May 1, 2017. But the performance of our markets since January 10, 2018 has been a much-needed wake-up call for all of us in the investment game.
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Secret of 'smart money'? Being rich enough you can afford to do nothing

By Marcus Padley
13 February 2018 — 8:00am
I have never liked the expression "smart money". It is demeaning to individual investors and used by commentators to imply they are smart and the rest of you aren't. But a lot of supposedly smart professionals do some very dumb things, and a lot of non-professional investors do some very clever things.
There are only a few "smart money" activities inaccessible to the mortal investor. They include getting access to a large allocation of an over-subscribed IPO or share issue because you are a big institution, and the issuing brokers are sucking up to you to get or keep your secondary market business.
Another is writing call options over large existing holdings because you are very wealthy, can afford to be long term, and are looking for an incremental improvement in the total return on a large shareholding you do not need to sell. The rich get richer incrementally.
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  • Updated Feb 28 2018 at 7:17 PM

Treasury secretary John Fraser ramps up global tax competition warnings

The effective tax rate paid by companies operating in Australia has deteriorated over the past 15 years from the fifth lowest in the Group of 20 nations to 12th, with further falls to come, highlighting the declining competitiveness of the tax system.
Finance Minister Mathias Cormann said the ranking, which unlike the 30 per cent headline rate takes into account deductions, would only get worse as planned tax cuts are delivered in the UK, France and United States.
"Arguing we won't lose investment if we keep corporate tax high is like saying there are no mountains in Switzerland, that you won't get wet if you walk in the rain, that the sun doesn't come up in the morning," Mr Cormann said, as he hit back at doubters of the benefits of the reductions.
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Australian unis hit the panic button as government pulls foreign student pin

By Michael Pascoe
Updated 28 February 2018 — 7:21pm first published at 10:33am
In various sandstone cloisters around the nation, highly-paid vice-chancellors are wondering where their next bonus might come from.
A key cog in their money-making machines has just been removed with transitions from international student visas to 457 visas halving last year.
The 2017 Times Higher Education: Top 800 Universities has just been published. So which Australian universities rank among the top 100 in the world?
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  • Updated Mar 1 2018 at 2:07 PM

Analyst points to 'uncanny resemblance' between today's market and 1987

Analysts have been left scrambling to find a plausible explanation for the vicious sell-off in late trading on the US stock exchange on Wednesday night, that left the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.5 per cent, while the S&P 500 tumbled 1.1 per cent.
For weeks, analysts have been pointing out that US share and bond prices are now moving in tandem. But this correlation broke down overnight, as bond prices climbed – which pushed the yield on benchmark 10-year US bonds down to 2.87 per cent – while share prices tumbled. (Yields fall as bond prices rise.)
But one analyst who would not be surprised at all by the savagery of the sell-off is Russell Napier, an independent strategist and co-founder of investment research platform ERIC. He's long been arguing that the rapid tightening in US monetary conditions is simply not compatible with robust economic activity, stronger inflation and rising asset prices.
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  • Updated Mar 2 2018 at 5:03 AM

Federal Reserve's Jerome Powell says no sign economy 'overheating'

by Christopher Condon
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said he sees no signs the US economy is overheating, and reiterated the central bank will continue to raise rates gradually to keep unemployment and inflation in balance.
"By continuing to gradually raise interest rates over time, we're trying to balance those two things and achieve inflation moving up to target but also make sure the economy doesn't overheat," Powell told the Senate Banking Committee on Thursday (Friday AEDT) in his second appearance before lawmakers this week. He added: "There's no evidence the economy is currently overheating."
Powell also said he doesn't see a tightening labour market causing wages to hit "a point of acceleration".
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Investment cycle is far from dead

  • The Australian
  • 5:48PM February 26, 2018

Don Stammer

Don’t for a moment think the business cycle is dead. Following the global financial crisis, many investors came to expect a new normal of slow economic growth, negligible inflation and low interest rates. Cyclical swings in the economy, inflation and bond yields largely disappeared from the investment menu.
Last year, this orthodoxy was challenged by quickening growth in the global economy. In recent weeks, it’s been disrupted by inflation reappearing in the US. Bond yields quickly moved higher (to be fair, not just because of the renewed expectations for inflation: investors also focused on the “normalisation” of monetary policies in the big economies and on the increased supply of US bonds after the US Congress passed the fiscal package). Sharemarkets turned choppy and, for a while, extremely gloomy.
This isn’t the first time widespread predictions of the death of the business cycle have taken hold — only to be proven wrong. It brings back memories of Mark Twain’s famous observation on hearing rumours he’d passed away: “The report of my death was an exaggeration.”
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They live like kings, we work like slaves': Is franchising at a turning point?

By Sarah Danckert, Cole Latimer & Patrick Hatch
Updated3 March 2018 — 6:14amfirst published at 12:05am
It’s been a busy week for the franchising industry.
In just a few days the market has reeled as oil giant Caltex devoured its franchise store network and the owner of the Gloria Jean's and Brumby’s Bakeries chains Retail Food Group announced it would close up to 200 of its outlets.
Wayne Hong, who owns a Michel’s Patisserie - another RFG chain - in Knox Shopping Centre in Wantirna, in Melbourne’s east, said he was not surprised to learn of the mass store closures.
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'Bonking ban' has taken Australia across a threshold - and it's going to get ugly from here

By Peter Hartcher
3 March 2018 — 12:01am
If you take your problem to the doctor, it will be handled using the rules of the health system.
When a matter goes before the courts, it is dealt with using the logic of the legal system.
Likewise, if any subject is taken into the political realm, it is dealt with according to the norms of that system. And, as we all know, they're often ugly and vicious.
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Forget the spin, 'free trade' is cover for dubious special deals

By Ross Gittins
3 March 2018 — 12:15am
You may think spin-doctoring and economics are worlds apart, but they combine in that relatively modern invention the "free-trade agreement" – the granddaddy of which, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, is presently receiving CPR from the lips of our own heroic lifesaver, Malcolm Turnbull.
It's not surprising many punters assume something called a "free-trade agreement" must be a Good Thing. Economists have been preaching the virtues of free trade ever since David Ricardo discovered the magic of "comparative advantage" in 1815.
The prime minister says he's created a live option that would otherwise not exist for a negotiated US return to the Trans-Pacific Partnership.
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Tech duopoly has too much of our personal data

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM March 3, 2018

Adam Creighton

Does it matter that the ratio of public relations professionals to journalists has passed 12:1 as traditional media firms lose their ­investigative clout? Does it matter that a couple of private foreign companies know more about us, including location, likes, dislikes and relationships, than any elected government ever could or should?
As Google and Facebook continue their wrecking-ball swing through the traditional media, regulators have cottoned on to the problems of not just an ­emaciated media but the threats to privacy and competition the digital ­behemoths pose.
Last year the European Commission fined Google €2.4 billion for giving its own shopping comparison service a leg up in the ­ordering of search results. In January Israel’s anti-trust regulator began an inquiry into the digital duopoly’s power in the ­advertising market. The French and German governments have found their ­collection of data could raise bar­riers to entry for new firms. A few weeks ago Britain announced an inquiry into the sustainability of its fourth estate.
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National Budget Issues.

Not even the IMF is worried by our huge foreign debt

By Ross Gittins
Updated 25 February 2018 — 9:46pm first published at 12:15am
In its latest report on Australia, the International Monetary Fund says it isn't worried by our net foreign debt, now just a squeak short of $1 trillion. Just as well, since none of us ever worries about it either.
Still, it's nice to have the fund's judgment that "the external position of Australia in 2017 was assessed to be broadly consistent with medium-term fundamentals and desirable policies".
Australia's negative "net international investment position" – consisting of our net foreign debt plus net foreign equity investment – has varied between 40 and 60 per cent of gross domestic product since 1988, it says. At the end of 2016, it was equivalent to 58 per cent.
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  • Updated Feb 25 2018 at 11:00 PM

Cutting super tax breaks won't save budget woes, Treasury figures show

The amount of cash held by self-managed superannuation funds may not be a conversation stopper at the local barbecue. Particularly in a low interest rate environment, talking about the latest interest rates available on a term deposit is likely to have everyone reaching for the bottle.
But cash holdings do tell an interesting story. Self-managed super funds are much maligned for holding too much cash, but the latest figures from Multiport, the self-managed fund administrator owned by financial services group AMP, show that cash holdings can be overstated if they are recorded at certain times of the year.
The data shows that cash holdings tend to be higher at the end of June than at other times of the year, because do-it-yourself scheme members make substantial personal and after-tax contributions at the end of the financial year and invest it in other assets, such as equities, over subsequent months. 
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Full time median earnings grow by just 1.5 per cent

By Eryk Bagshaw
Updated26 February 2018 — 2:23pmfirst published at 1:46pm
The growth in full time wages has fallen below the cost of living, leaving the median working Australian with an effective pay cut in the past year.
Detailed figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show median full-time wages - which measure the pay rises of up to 70 per cent of the working population -  have fallen below the increasing cost of a consumer basket.
The figures will further fuel the ongoing political debate about inequality.
Opposition Leader Bill Shorten has accused Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull of being out of touch with the concerns of employees struggling with historically low wage growth, while  Treasurer Scott Morrison has accused Labor of being socialists for blocking company tax cuts he believes will be passed on to workers in the form of higher wages.
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Money down the drain: how wine is emptying the federal budget

By Peter Martin
28 February 2018 — 9:46pm
The hardest thing about putting together a budget is finding the money. Scott Morrison’s task gets harder each year.
Back in 2000, the first year of the GST, tax takings amounted to 25 per cent of gross domestic product. Put another way, one quarter of everything we earned went to Peter Costello to hand back to us via the budget.
By the end of the latest financial year, Morrison's first as Treasurer, the proportion had slid to 22.1 per cent. Morrison collected a total of $388.6 billion in tax. If the tax system had performed as it did for Costello back in 2000 he would have collected $439.7 billion.
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Lethal intervention on the demise of political rationality and integrity

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM March 2, 2018

Paul Kelly

In a lethal intervention documenting the demise of rationality and integrity in our politics, former Treasury chief Ken Henry declares corporate tax cuts an obvious “no option” reform, damns the futile debate about the issue and calls for real tax reform.
The essential question Henry puts to the country today is: how much shame, craven self-interest and sabotage of the national interest will our political system tolerate?
In an interview with The Australian and in his speech, Henry says cutting the company tax rate is but “a small part” of a sweeping tax system restructuring that Australia needs. He warns that political failure has led to a “lost decade” on tax reform.
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Health Budget Issues.

Mental illness among Australian children rises, immunisation rates fall

  • AAP
  • 10:53AM February 25, 2018
Australian children are lagging behind when it comes to developing basic skills in primary school but they are staying in school for longer. The Australian Research Alliance for Children and Youth’s five-year snapshot, released on Sunday, shows Australia ranks 35th out of 40 OECD countries on preschool attendance, although the number of four-and five-year-olds who attend has dropped in recent years.
It also shows three in 10 Year 4 students aren’t meeting minimum maths standards while one in four are below standard in science and one in five are not at the required reading level.
The rate of parents reading to their two-year-olds at least once a week has stayed static, although there was an encouraging lift among indigenous families.
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  • Updated Feb 25 2018 at 11:00 PM

Members Health Fund Alliance CEO says consumer want smaller health funds

The chief executive of peak not-for-profit private health insurers has warned that it would be "dark day for consumers" if consumer choice was reduced by increased consolidation in the sector.
Matthew Koce, the boss of Members Health Fund Alliance (MFHA), said more mergers like last week's mooted HBF and HCF tie-up would be the exception not the rule across the 35-fund industry.
"I think consumers are voting with their feet and our funds are growing faster than the big funds. Those guys may want consolidation, but consumers are increasingly wanting smaller funds," he said.
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New Report Card on Australian Children and Youth

A new report on the emotional, social and physical wellbeing of Australia’s young people shows we are leading the world in some areas, including low rates of youth smoking and life expectancy at birth.
Page last updated: 26 February 2018

Joint Media Release

The Hon Dan Tehan MP
Minister for Social Services
Member for Wannon

The Hon Ken Wyatt AM, MP
Minister for Aged Care
Minister for Indigenous Health
Member for Hasluck

26 February 2018

A new report on the emotional, social and physical wellbeing of Australia’s young people shows we are leading the world in some areas, including low rates of youth smoking and life expectancy at birth.

Minister for Indigenous Health, the Hon Ken Wyatt AM, launched the third Australian Research Alliance for Children and Youth (ARACY) Report Card in Canberra today.

Minister Wyatt said the report card highlighted many positive aspects, although more work was needed to close the gap between Indigenous and non-Indigenous children and young adults.
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https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/aldi-and-iga-score-low-in-obesity-prevention-efforts-supermarket-report-card-shows-20180223-p4z1hu.html

Aldi and IGA score low in obesity prevention efforts, supermarket report card shows

By Esther Han
25 February 2018 — 3:30pm

Talking points

  • Unhealthy diets and obesity are leading contributors to poor health in Australia, the reports says.
  • The food industry has an important role to play in addressing obesity and improving population diets.
  • Australian supermarkets demonstrated some commitment to addressing health and nutrition issues but much stronger action is needed across the sector.
Aldi and IGA have received extremely low scores in a new study that assessed the efforts being made by Australia’s top supermarkets to help tackle the obesity crisis.
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Medibank reveals what it pays for ‘rare and expensive’ operations

  • The Australian
  • 10:19AM February 26, 2018

Sarah-Jane Tasker

Health insurance giant Medibank has paid more than $100 million in the past two years for “rare and expensive” procedures, new data has revealed.
The most common “rare” procedure the health insurer has funded was one to remove all, or part, of a kidney. More than 1300 Medibank members had that surgery in the past two years, with the insurer paying an average benefit of $16,000 per procedure.
The most expensive surgery was an aortic valve replacement at $48,000, with 781 Medibank customers needing that procedure to replace a damaged heart valve with an artificial valve.
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Aspiring doctors begin Macquarie's 'cash grab' $250,000 medical degree

By Esther Han
26 February 2018 — 6:14pm
Amid outrage and controversy, Australia's newest full-fee medical school opened its doors on Monday, welcoming about 50 fresh-faced students who have the ability to cough up $250,000 for the privilege.
While they too welcomed the aspiring doctors, the Australian Medical Students' Association (AMSA) and Australian Medical Association (AMA) lambasted Macquarie University for its "short-sighted cash grab", saying the degree didn't come with a guarantee of an internship and would cause greater bottle necks in the training system.
“The pipeline is stretched and bursting; in 2016 we had 200 medical graduates left without an internship which you need to become a qualified doctor,” said AMSA president Alex Farrell.
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‘Health system needs to pay for results, not appointments’

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM February 28, 2018

Sarah-Jane Tasker

One of the world’s most renowned researchers in personalised medicine, Ajay Royyuru, has added weight to calls for a shift in healthcare payment models to incentivise providers for results, not service.
New York-based Dr Royyuru, IBM’s vice-president of healthcare and life sciences research, said on a visit to Australia that the ongoing debate on rising healthcare costs was not unique to Australia.
He said there was a shift, globally, to improve the economics of healthcare services by better using data that was now available, adding that outcomes would drive the economics in future.
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Oakden nursing home report clears SA ministers Jack Snelling, Leesa Vlahos

  • The Australian
  • 9:52AM February 28, 2018

Michael Owen

An inquiry by the Independent Commissioner Against Corruption into the handling of Adelaide’s failed Oakden nursing home has brought down findings of maladministration against five people but cleared former health minister Jack Snelling and former mental health minister Leesa Vlahos.
ICAC commissioner Bruce Lander says that, nevertheless, each minister who had responsibility for the Oakden Facility is responsible for its failures.
There is a suggestion in the final ICAC report that problems at Oakden may have been brought to cabinet’s attention as part of a privatisation plan before the 2014 election by health officials.
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Bupa strips budget policies of payouts for costly procedures

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM March 1, 2018

Sean Parnell

Australia’s largest health fund, Bupa, has advised more than a third of its members that the ­restricted cover they have for a series of costly medical services will be removed altogether amid concerns over unexpected gap fees.
From July, Bupa will amend about 720,000 policies so the restricted cover for certain services, paying minimal benefits, becomes an outright exclusion. This will ­include hip and knee replacements, pregnancy, IVF, cataract procedures, obesity and some plastic surgery, areas in which insurers have for years allowed members to downgrade in an ­effort to reduce their premiums.
The specialties that perform these procedures leave patients with some of the biggest average gap fees, or out-of-pocket expenses, after insurance benefits are paid. Restricted cover also means the insurer would only pay for private hospital care at a rate equivalent to that of a shared room in a public hospital.
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Ramsay Health to add clinical services

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM March 1, 2018

Sarah-Jane Tasker

Australia’s largest private hospital operator, Ramsay Health Care, is looking to add new ­clinical services to its portfolio as the growth in day admissions outpaces inpatient numbers.
Ramsay chief executive Craig McNally, who yesterday reported a 3.7 per cent fall in half-year ­profit to $246.5 million, said ­Ramsay was experiencing more growth in day admissions than it was in inpatient admissions. While that diluted revenue growth to a certain extent, it was not a concern.
“We just have to get our cost base to reflect that to service that appropriately but that is the trend,” he said.
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After-hours GPs feeling the rebate squeeze

1st Mar 2018 7:14 AM
THE squeeze GPs have felt with the freezing of the Medicare rebate is now being put on the only doctors that are still bulk billing in full in Mackay - the after hours doctors.
From today the Medicare rebate for after hours doctors' visits has been slashed from $129.80 to $100, with a further cut to $90 in January 2019.
The cuts have prompted service provider House Call Doctor to warn it will make doctors' jobs tougher.
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Sleeper sell: Will anaesthetists new name wake us up to what they do?

By Aisha Dow
2 March 2018 — 10:20am
One of Australia’s most important and highly paid medical specialities could soon have a new name, because of concerns that the public does not understand how skilled and crucial the job is.
Anaesthetists – the women and men who ease us into unconsciousness in the operating theatre – are considering changing their name to anaesthesiologists, after a survey found that one in 10 people did not realise they were doctors.
Despite undergoing more than a decade of medical training, some anaesthetists in Australia believe they are sometimes confused for lesser-trained medical professionals, including nurses.
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Passing the NDIS buck persists four years on, senators hear

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM March 2, 2018

Rick Morton

A nationwide struggle to decide who pays for what services under the $22 billion National Disability Insurance Scheme has still not been settled more than four years after the project launched with “priority” work between officials from every state and territory and two federal agencies.
A senate estimates hearing yesterday also heard the extraordinary revelation that the flagship disability scheme asks service providers to work without pay when a person’s support plan runs out and has not yet been renewed due to delays in assessments or paperwork.
The Senate Community Affairs Legislation Committee heard that despite continuing delays with planning — the scheme consistently meets just 80 per cent of estimates — and a recommendation from the Productivity Commission last year, it will not adjust its timetable for when all 470,000 participants will get access.
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Health cover plan still a work in progress

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM March 2, 2018

Sean Parnell

A much-lauded move to gold, silver, bronze and basic categories of health insurance has yet to be finalised, with stakeholders still debating which services will be required to be covered in each category and how that will affect premiums.
Australia’s largest health insurer, Bupa, sparked controversy this week when it downgraded the policies of more than a third of its members amid concerns over unexpected gap fees. From July, Bupa will amend about 720,000 policies so that the restricted cover those members have for certain services, paying minimal benefits, becomes an outright exclusion. This will ­include hip and knee replacements, pregnancy, IVF, cataract procedures, obesity and some plastic surgery — areas in which insurers have for years allowed members to restrict their cover in an ­effort to reduce their premiums.
These procedures leave pat­ients with some of the biggest average gap fees, or out-of-pocket expenses, after insurance benefits are paid. In one email to members, Bupa said “feedback from customers has shown the value of ‘minimum benefits’ (restricted cover) included in their health cover was not clear”.
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Older Australians getting bigger slice of the health insurance pie: Macquarie

  • The Australian
  • 3:05PM March 1, 2018

Sarah-Jane Tasker

Older Australians are increasingly capturing more of the value from private health insurance than younger people, a trend analysts argue has structural implications unless industry reforms are introduced.
The warning comes as a new survey reveals that the majority of young people want to see a significant reduction in the cost of health insurance before considering buying the product.
Macquarie’s analysts have highlighted that a deteriorating trend in risk equalisation illustrated that older people were increasingly capturing more of the value from private health insurance than younger and healthy people.
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Weight gain core to new national pregnancy guidelines

By Kate Aubusson
Updated 2 March 2018 — 9:37amfirst published at 12:01am
Weight gain for would-be mothers is a key focus of the federal government’s new national medical guidelines for pregnancy to be launched on Friday by health minister Greg Hunt.
Addressing the National Women’s Health Summit in Sydney, Mr Hunt will also announce $2.5 million in medical research funding as part of a national approach to combat the often misunderstood condition, endometriosis, and the development of a national maternity services strategy.
The Clinical Practice Guidelines on Pregnancy Care stress the importance of body mass index before pregnancy, weight gain during pregnancy for the health of both mothers and babies.
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Bupa to limit gap cover to own sites

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM March 3, 2018

Sean Parnell

Australia’s largest health fund, Bupa, has shaken the system for the second time in a week, advising doctors that insured patients will qualify for so-called “gap cover” only if they are treated in a Bupa-contracted facility.
The move may expose ­patients to higher out-of-pocket costs if their doctor does not comply with the new terms.
It comes after Bupa this week told almost a third of its members that some policy restrictions would become outright exclusions from July 1 to remove confusion over who pays.
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WA anti-vaccination hotspots: parents targeted in $5.5 million Federal campaign

Regina Titelius | PerthNow
March 4, 2018 3:00AM
PARENTS who fail to vaccinate will be “micro-targeted” in a new Federal campaign that has identified WA as being the nation’s worst for low-immunisation “hotspots”.
The $5.5 million national six-week campaign starting today targets non-complying parents living in 30 of the nation’s lowest immunisation hotspot areas for one, two and five-year-olds.
WA has seven “hotspots” which are centred around Fremantle, Mundaring, Cottesloe-Claremont, Perth City, South Perth, Manjimup and Augusta-Margaret River-Busselton.
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Elimination of cervical cancer in sight in Australia

  • AAP
  • 6:18AM March 4, 2018
Experts predict Australia is likely to become the first country to effectively eliminate cervical cancer, expected within the next 40 years.
The latest research shows there’s been a dramatic decline in the rates of human papillomavirus (HPV) - the infection that causes about 99.9 per cent of cervical cancers - due to the effectiveness of the HPV vaccine.
Among Australian women aged 18 to 24, the HPV rate had dropped from 22.7 per cent to just 1.1 per cent over the past 10 years, according to research recently published in the Journal of Infectious Diseases.
Before the vaccination program, almost all sexually active people had contracted HPV. Because of the vaccine’s success the International Papillomavirus Society (IPVS) has for the first time outlined in a statement, published today, that cervical cancer could soon be eliminated as a public health problem. The IPVS is made up of the world’s leading cervical cancer and HPV researchers, including Suzanne Garland from the Royal Women’s Hospital and University of Melbourne, and who advises the WHO and global policy makers on cervical cancer prevention and screening. Professor Garland says Australia would was likely to be the first country to achieve the milestone of cervical cancer eradication.
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International Issues.

China: following the “Health Silk Road”

Authored by Jane McCredie
WHEN Venetian traveller Marco Polo visited China in the 13th century, he was gobsmacked by the country’s wealth and industry, observing canals carrying thousands of trading vessels, iron production dwarfing that of Europe, and “stones” that were burned instead of wood.
Those stones were coal, a substance that still plays a crucial, though possibly declining, role in underpinning the Chinese economy.
More than seven centuries later, Western observers are still prone to awe, and often a certain degree of alarm, when it comes to contemplating China’s industrial might and global ambitions.
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China trying to enforce claim to South China Sea: Trump advisor

By Peter Hartcher
26 February 2018 — 12:00am
China is turning its newly-built islands in the South China Sea into bases so it can enforce its claim to own the entire international waterway, according to a senior Pentagon official.
"It's not about finding 12 nautical miles more" territory for China around the edges of the controversial islands, "it's really about enforcing a very expansive sovereignty claim", said the top official for US military policy in the Asia-Pacific, Randy Schriver.
If so, the most serious confrontation yet between China and the US could be looming. China has laid claim to almost the entire South China Sea, the world's most valuable commercial route and a vital lifeline for Australia, among many other countries.
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The stunning importance of the Mueller indictment

  • The Australian
  • 6:59AM February 26, 2018

Alan Kohler

Naturally enough all the focus on last week’s US indictment against 13 Russians for interfering in the 2016 Presidential election has been on whether the trail leads to an impeachable offence by President Trump.
Not yet it doesn’t, but special counsel Robert Mueller’s posse appears to be closing in.
But as big a deal as that is for America and the world, there is more to what Mueller is uncovering than a potential political earthquake.
The 37-page indictment against Yevgeniy Viktorovich Prigozhin et al should be required reading for every government in the world, in fact every company, and organisation of any sort, for that matter.
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Globalization Has Created a Chinese Monster

Xi Jinping's dictatorship isn't what the end of history was supposed to look like.

By Emile Simpson
| February 26, 2018, 3:13 PM
On Sunday, the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee recommended ending the two-term limit on the presidency, paving the way for President Xi Jinping to stay in office indefinitely. This surely marks the end of an era — and not just for China, but also for the West.
For the West, the era in question started with the end of the Cold War, as old enemies became “emerging markets.” China had already started opening its markets to foreign investment since 1978 under Deng Xiaoping’s reforms. But only in the 1990s did the private sector take off there, and Western firms promptly rushed in to profit from the breakneck speed of Chinese economic growth.
The beauty of the post-Cold War emerging market story was that it was apolitical
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China’s Stability Myth Is Dead

With Xi Jinping's great power comes great irresponsibility.

By James Palmer
| February 26, 2018, 3:27 PM
The announcement on Sunday that China would abolish the two-term limit for the presidency, effectively foreshadowing current leader Xi Jinping’s likely status as president for life, had been predicted ever since Xi failed to nominate a clear successor at last October’s Communist Party Congress. But it still came as a shock in a country where the collective leadership established under Deng Xiaoping in the 1980s was once considered inviolable. Xi, like every leader since Deng, combines a trinity of roles that embody the three pillars of power in China: party chairman, president, and head of the Central Military Commission. But like every leader since Deng, he was once expected to hand these over after his appointed decade, letting one generation of leadership pass smoothly on to the next.
It’s virtually impossible to gauge public opinion in China, especially as censorship has gripped ever tighter online. But among Chinese I know, including those used to defending China’s system, the move caused dismay and a fair amount of gallows humor involving references to “Emperor Pooh” and “West Korea.”
U.S. President Donald Trump’s electoral victory in 2016 similarly prompted rounds of reflection about and criticism of American democracy. But the Chinese case merits significantly more alarm. For all the erosion of norms under Trump, he seems unlikely, despite the fears of some, to fundamentally change the way the United States is governed. Xi, meanwhile, appears to have entirely transformed Chinese politics from collective autocracy to what’s looking increasingly like one-man rule. This switch should leave everyone very worried, both inside and outside China. A country that once seemed to be clumsily lurching toward new freedoms has regressed sharply into full-blown dictatorship — of a kind that’s likely to lead to dangerous and unfixable mistakes.
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Why the Chinese are cheerful about the future

By Peter Hartcher
26 February 2018 — 9:06pm
In survey after survey, China's people are full of bounce. In comparisons with the people of other countries, the Chinese show an optimism and a confidence that puts them among the most positive on the planet.
Chinese consumers are brimful of confidence, outdone by only those in India, Indonesia and Iceland. China's people are the most optimistic in the world that they will have better living conditions in the future.
And among the world's young people, it's the Chinese and the Indians who feel most positive that the world is becoming a better place. One reason is that their economies are booming, But they also have great faith in the power of technology to do good.
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The peculiar parallel universe in the Trump administration

By Peter Hartcher
26 February 2018 — 12:00am
As he stood beside Malcolm Turnbull on the weekend, Donald Trump painted a glowing picture of America's relations with China.
"My personal relationship, as Malcolm can tell you, with President Xi is I think quite extraordinary. He's somebody who I like and I think he likes me," said the US president.
"I don't think we've ever had a better relationship with China than we do right now. The only thing that can get in its way is trade."
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  • Feb 27 2018 at 3:57 PM

Xi's Jinping's indefinite reign stokes fears China won't play by the rules

by David Tweed and Enda Curran
Xi Jinping's decision to cast aside China's presidential term limits is stoking concern he also intends to shun international rules on trade and finance, even as he champions them on the world stage.
The Communist Party's bid to repeal the constitutional prohibition enacted after the turbulent Mao Zedong era - allowing Xi to stay on indefinitely - is only the latest domestic standard discarded by the president. Since coming to power in 2012, he's jailed once-untouchable retirees of the country's top political body, declined to name a successor and created a series of party panels to take over government policy making.
Xi has demonstrated a similar willingness to challenge the rules overseas, despite casting himself as a defender of the post-World War II order in speeches to United Nations diplomats and Davos billionaires. Countries have accused Beijing of putting an economic embargo on South Korea, meddling in Australian politics and ignoring an international tribunal's ruling against Chinese claims to the disputed South China Sea.
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Xi’s power grab means China is vulnerable to the whims of one man

Autocracy is a risky system, even in a country with a solid bureaucratic tradition
Sometimes an announcement succeeds in being both unsurprising and shocking. It had long been evident that China’s Xi Jinping would not — indeed, could not — step down from power. He has made too many enemies, particularly through his anti-corruption campaign, even if he wanted to go, which seems unlikely. Yet the announcement that the two-term limit on the presidency is to go, is still shocking.
What seemed likely is now a fact. Mr Xi has discarded the attempt by Deng Xiaoping to institutionalise checks on the power of China’s leaders — itself a reaction to the wild excesses of the era of Mao Zedong. What is re-emerging is strongman rule — a concentration of power in the hands of one man. It now looks a bit like “Putinism with Chinese characteristics”.
True, even before this decision, it had been possible for Mr Xi to retain his positions as head of the party and commander-in-chief, indefinitely. The term limits applied only to the intrinsically less powerful office of president. Yet if he had lost the presidency, while retaining his other positions, a scintilla of doubt might have emerged over who was in charge. Mr Xi disliked this or, as likely, thought he could not risk it. He seeks power unbridled and undivided.
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  • Updated Feb 27 2018 at 3:43 PM

Subtlety the key to criticism in Xi Jinping's world

The scary efficiency of China's surveillance and censorship machine was on full display this week.
When news broke late on Sunday that the constitution would be amended to allow Xi Jinping to remain in power beyond two terms, millions took to the country's popular social media platforms to express their opinion.
Within minutes, there were signs that people were not happy about the unprecedented move. Political criticism is rare in heavily-censored China, even on the messaging app WeChat - which is owned by Hong Kong-listed Tencent - where an individual's influence is limited by the number of "friends" they have.
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In Syria, Russia is 'both arsonist and firefighter', US general says

By Idrees Ali & Phil Stewart
28 February 2018 — 10:11am
Washington: A senior US general has accused Russia of playing a destabilising role in Syria and acting as "both arsonist and firefighter," as a brief truce unilaterally declared by Moscow in the eastern Ghouta region collapsed.
The US and Russia have been on different sides of the multi-sided seven-year-war, with Russia being the key ally of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad whose forces are besieging eastern Ghouta, a rebel-held area near Damascus.
"Diplomatically and militarily, Moscow plays both arsonist and firefighter, fuelling tensions among all parties in Syria ... then serving as an arbitrator, to resolve disputes, attempting to undermine and weaken each party's bargaining positions," said US Army General Joseph Votel.
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The book Xi Jinping wants you to read for all the wrong reasons

By David Brophy
27 February 2018 — 10:35pm
I've seen up close the repressive surveillance state that the Chinese Communist Party wields against vulnerable groups. My research has taken me to China's northwest region of Xinjiang where a panoply of checkpoints, digital monitoring, and political re-education camps keep the local ethnic group, the Uyghurs, in line.
Xi Jinping's impending coronation as president for life promises to only entrench China's high-tech authoritarianism. These realities make me all the more conscious of the need to think seriously about how we in Australia might contribute to positive political change in China. What I'm convinced of is that such change won't come about by ramping up military pressure on the PRC, or indulging in fears of a Chinese invasion of our country.
Unfortunately, those are the two themes that have dominated our recent discussion of the implications of China's rise. Clive Hamilton's new book, Silent Invasion, is the culmination of a steady stream of breathless reportage on China's imagined subversion of Australian institutions and freedoms. It leads him to the conclusion that the People's Republic is on the verge of turning Australia into a vassal state. That's not only wrong, but dangerous.
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Chinese fear 'turmoil' from Xi's constitutional change

By KIRSTY NEEDHAM
27 February 2018 — 6:05pm
Beijing: As Chinese censors worked overtime to block social media dissent at Xi Jinping's move to scrap the presidential term limit, a number of intellectuals have tried to circulate an open letter calling for the proposal to be voted down.
Former Chinese newspaper editor Li Datong's letter was addressed to the 52 Beijing deputies of the National People's Congress, the annual parliament which opens this weekend, and it had a very focused message.
"The 1982 constitutional stipulation that the term of office of Chinese state leaders should not last more than two consecutive terms is a landmark political reform measure taken by the [Chinese Communist Party] and all the Chinese people through the great suffering of the Cultural Revolution," the letter, posted on WeChat, stated.
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Australia, East Timor agreement over $50 billion oil and gas field

By Lindsay Murdoch
Updated 26 February 2018 — 6:26pm first published at 11:34am
Bangkok: Australia and East Timor will sign a landmark agreement aimed at opening the way to share revenue from the $50 billion Greater Sunrise oil and gas field in the Timor Sea at the United Nations next week.
But intense negotiations have so far failed to settle how the field could be exploited by a Woodside Energy-led consortium.
Recommendations by the Permanent Court of Arbitration at The Hague, which has overseen negotiations between the neighbouring countries, on how the dispute should be settled are expected to be released in mid-April.
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A rush to judgement won't benefit Australia in South China Sea dispute

By Nicholas Stuart
28 February 2018 — 12:15am
An enduring feature of our Facebook-driven world appears to be a new enthusiasm for binary divisions. There's no room for grey. Everything's quickly divided and categorised as either black or white; good or bad.
Algorithms push us away from civilised discourse and towards extremes. Instead of attempting to find common ground and some shared facts from which we can move forward together, the clamour of shrill, shouting voices occupies the civic space as each side attempts to drown the other out.
Unfortunately, attempts to bifurcate debate inevitably result in pointless conflict – exactly as is happening in the South China Sea at the moment.
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Cold war: freeze on China ties

  • The Australian
  • 12:00AM March 1, 2018

Dennis Shanahan

Primrose Riordan

China is putting Australia into a diplomatic deep freeze, stalling on ministerial visits, deferring a trip by our top diplomat and putting off a broad range of lower-level ­exchanges to pressure Malcolm Turnbull over the new foreign ­interference laws and naval challenges to disputed Chinese claims in the South China Sea.
Critical reports about Australia and the Prime Minister have spiked in China following his visit last week to Washington, where he agreed to help enforce tough sanctions on North Korea and discussed “freedom of navigation” exercises in the South China Sea.
In recent weeks, China has made it difficult for lower-level ­exchange programs, education visits and, according to government sources, deferred a trip by Foreign Affairs departmental secretary Frances Adamson, Australia’s highest-ranking diplomat and a former ambassador to Beijing.
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  • Updated Mar 1 2018 at 4:55 AM

Larry Summers says next US recession could be a long one

by Catherine Bosley
The next US recession could drag on longer than the last one that stretched 18 months. That's the assessment of former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers.
With the economy in its ninth year of expansion, even if one were to take a hawkish view of upcoming Federal Reserve tightening, it would be some time before the level of interest rates rates gets high enough to allow them to again be reduced by the 500 basis points typical for a US recession, Summers said at a conference in Abu Dhabi.
"That suggests that in the next few years a recession will come and we will in a sense have already shot the monetary and fiscal policy cannons, and that suggests the next recession might be more protracted," he said during a panel with Bloomberg Television.
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Donald Trump’s top aide Hope Hicks to quit

  • AP
  • 9:43AM March 1, 2018

Cameron Stewart

Rosie Lewis

One of Donald Trump’s closest aides, White House communications director Hope Hicks, has confirmed she will resign.
The move is an unexpected blow to the White House which has been embroiled in a series of rolling controversies in recent weeks, including the stripping this week of top secret clearances for senior adviser Jared Kushner.
It comes a day after Ms Hicks, 29, gave eight hours of testimony before the House Intelligence Committee in which she said she occasionally told ‘white lies’ on behalf of the president but never in relation to the Russia investigation.
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Putin unveils 'invincible' nuclear weapons to counter West

By Andrew Osborn
2 March 2018 — 5:42am
Moscow: President Vladimir Putin unveiled an array of new nuclear weapons on Thursday, in one of his most bellicose speeches in years, saying they could hit almost any point in the world and evade a US-built missile shield.
Putin was speaking ahead of an election on March 18 that polls indicate he should win easily. He said a nuclear attack on any of Moscow's allies would be regarded as an attack on Russia itself and draw an immediate response.
The Russian president unveils an array of new nuclear weapons, in one of his most bellicose speeches in years.
It was unclear if he had a particular Russian ally, such as Syria, in mind, but his comments looked like a warning to Washington not to use tactical battlefield nuclear weapons.
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Russian trolls sought to inflame debate over climate change

By Craig Timberg and Tony Romm
2 March 2018 — 6:18am
Washington: Russian trolls used Facebook, Instagram and Twitter to inflame US political debate over energy policy and climate change, a finding that underscores how the Russian campaign of social media manipulation went beyond the 2016 president election, congressional investigators reported on Thursday.
The new report from the House Science, Space and Technology Committee includes previously unreleased social media posts that Russians created on such contentious political issues as the Dakota Access Pipeline, government efforts to curb global warming and hydraulic fracturing, a gas mining technique often called "fracking."
One Facebook post created by a Russian-controlled group called "Native Americans United" shows what appears to be a young girl in a braid peering out over an unspoiled prairie. "Love Water Not Oil, Protect Our Mother, Stand With Standing Rock," a reference to an Indian tribe that opposed the Dakota Access Pipeline. The post also said, "No Pipelines. No Fracking. No Tar Sands."
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White House flags big steel tariffs, risking trade war with China

By Don Lee
2 March 2018 — 9:41am
Washington: President Trump said on Thursday he will sign an order next week to impose 25 per cent tariffs on steel imports and 10 per cent tariffs on aluminum, potentially triggering an ugly trade war with China and other countries.
He promised US manufacturers that they will "have protection for a long time. ... You'll have to regrow your industries. That's all I'm asking."
"We are going to have much more vibrant companies," Trump added, during a listening session with several top US manufacturing executives.
The announcement came after a chaotic 12-hour period in which the president pushed for an announcement Thursday and abruptly summoned the executives to the White House.
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  • Updated Mar 2 2018 at 10:19 AM

Donald Trump's steel, aluminium tariffs test bull market

Donald Trump, the President who measures his economic performance by the stock market, just got a taste of what investors think of his planned tariffs.
The vicious 1.7 per cent sell-off of the Dow Jones Industrial Average will give Trump pause for thought before he officially signs off next week on the mooted 25 per cent and 10 per cent tariffs on steel and aluminium imports.
Investors fear a tit-for-tat trade war with China, as Beijing lines up its retaliation targets in Trump's voting heartland. Other countries including Australia could be hit by any blanket US tariffs.
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  • Updated Mar 2 2018 at 11:00 PM

New Zealand prime minister Jacinda Ardern outplays Malcolm Turnbull

When the Australian and New Zealand Prime Ministers gave speeches one after the other at the Australia New Zealand Leadership forum in Sydney on Friday Malcolm Turnbull was outplayed by his counterpart Jacinda Ardern.
It was a case of deja vu for Australians used to being flogged by the Kiwis in the pinnacle of trans-Tasman rugby union competitions, the Bledisloe Cup.
That is not to say that Turnbull did not earn praise from leading Australian business people among the 1000-strong luncheon audience. They liked his strong support for private enterprise and his pledge to continue trying to push corporate tax cuts through the Senate.
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  • Updated Feb 28 2018 at 11:45 PM

Washington Consensus needs to be replaced

by Mohamed El-Erian
For decades, the Western world put its faith in a well-defined and broadly accepted economic paradigm with applications at both the national and global levels. But, against a background of declining confidence in the ability of "experts" to explain, let alone predict, economic developments, that faith has deteriorated. With a new paradigm having yet to emerge, the world economy faces a heightened risk of fragmentation, with already-vulnerable countries being left even further behind.
The paradigm that, until recently, dominated much of economic thinking and policymaking is embodied in the so-called Washington Consensus – a set of 10 broadly applicable policy prescriptions for individual countries – and, at the international level, in the pursuit of economic and financial globalisation. The idea, simply put, was that countries would benefit from embracing market-based pricing and deregulation at home, while fostering free trade and relatively open cross-border capital flows.
Deepening the economic and financial linkages among countries was viewed as the best way to deliver durable gains, enhance efficiency and productivity, and mitigate the threat of financial instability. This approach was also deemed to yield collateral benefits, from enhancing internal social mobility to reducing the risk of violent conflict among countries. And it promised to support the positive convergence of developing and developed countries, thereby reducing both absolute and relative poverty and weakening economic incentives for illegal cross-border migration.
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  • Updated Mar 2 2018 at 7:02 PM

Donald Trump's steel tariffs trigger trade war, recession fears

The Turnbull government could face pressure to pre-emptively toughen barriers to shield local industry from a glut of cheap foreign metal, increasing risks Australia could be dragged into a global trade war after Donald Trump announced hefty tariffs on steel and aluminium exports to the US.
As Mr Trump's announcement drove the local market and Wall St down, Trade Minister Steven Ciobo warned it could spark a recession while local experts claimed South Korean steelmakers being squeezed out of the US were already eyeing off Australian sales.
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  • Updated Mar 2 2018 at 11:00 PM

Back to Mao? Rare public dissent from fearful Chinese

Hundreds of millions of people in China were preparing to return to work after the extended Spring Festival break when an unsettling piece of news interrupted their afternoon last Sunday.
In an oddly-orchestrated exercise in media management the state-run Xinhua news agency released a report in English outlining changes to the country's constitution that would effectively allow President Xi Jinping to stay in power indefinitely.
The ruling Communist Party was proposing abolishing a 10-year limit for the country's leaders introduced four decades ago. 
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  • Updated Mar 2 2018 at 11:00 PM

Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump have raised global tensions

by Andrew Shearer
In the George Lucas classic Star Wars, Obi-Wan Kenobi senses "a great disturbance in the Force". No planets have been destroyed, but three telling developments this week suggest serious tremors in an international system that for half a century has given us security and a long period of national prosperity.
In a surprise announcement over the weekend, the Chinese Communist Party foreshadowed the lifting of the country's two-term limit, which could allow strongman Xi Jinping to remain president indefinitely. The term limits were designed to prevent a repeat of Maoist excess. Their removal instead confirms China's drift from collective to one-man rule.
Then, in a sinister two-hour rant on Thursday – accompanied by images simulating a nuclear attack on the US – Vladimir Putin proclaimed that Russia had developed sophisticated new nuclear weapons capable of piercing any US defences and striking the American homeland.
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Theresa May's hard facts: 'Life is going to be different after Brexit'

By Karla Adam & William Booth
3 March 2018 — 11:18am
London: In a major speech on Britain's exit from the European Union, Prime Minister Theresa May has warned her people that they must accept some trade-offs to achieve the independence their government seeks, even as she asked the Europeans to, please, seek compromise on the issues of trade, tariffs and borders she said are essential.
During her 45-minute speech on Friday, May set out her proposals for a future relationship between the United Kingdom and the EU.
The British prime minister delivers a speech on Brexit, against the backdrop of a dispute over the Irish border.
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Steel tariffs mean pain for all

  • The Australian

John Durie

There is nothing but bad news flowing from Donald Trump’s ­extraordinary move to impose trade barriers on steel and aluminium imports on mythical national security grounds.
The confusion still surrounding the decisions says final comment must await the actual ruling when it comes down.
But the danger signs are everywhere, even if Trump has long warned of the move and in fact campaigned on the policy.
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I look forward to comments on all this!
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David.

It Looks Like Queensland Health Has Learned Some Lessons From The Payroll Fiasco!

This appeared last week and brought a wry smile to my face:

Qld Health nears delivery of new ERP system

By Justin Hendry on Feb 27, 2018 6:00AM

Asks KPMG to mitigate risks.

Queensland Health expects to have its new SAP ERP system up and running by August this year, but will spend several months transitioning staff across to mitigate potential risks.
The $105 million financial system renewal project (FSR), which the agency has been working on since December 2016, will replace a heavily customised, 20-year-old SAP R/3 4.6B ERP suite known as the finance and materials management information system (FAMMIS).
FAMMIS has been out of support for a decade, forcing the agency to “put in place mitigating action to maintain system performance and stability until the financial system is replaced”, according to a recent financial audit by the Queensland Audit Office [pdf].
The project will see Health and all hospital and health services across the state move to a new on-premise version of SAP's S/4HANA solution, which will interface into the agency’s now-stable SAP payroll system.
It is the second time the agency has attempted to replace the system, after aborting a $36 million upgrade effort in 2014-15.
Queensland Health began building a prototype in early 2017 to fast track the project and build user confidence before embarking on the rest of the project.
It also went looking for a partner at the same time, noting the “potential risk from an unsuccessful transition”.
Lots more here:
Lessons from the previous try and the infamous Payroll replacement are clearly informing the plans here – but I always wonder why it is these things are left to the last minute so increasing the risk.
Good luck for a smooth implementation and I hope KPMG have a quiet time of it!
David.

Wednesday, March 07, 2018

This Has To Be Good News For Those Interested In Digital Health!

This announcement appeared last week:

HiNZ launches dedicated news service for health IT sector

February 28, 2018
New Zealand’s health IT sector is getting a dedicated local news service this month with the launch of eHealthNews.nz. The new website and eNewsletter is being launched by Health Informatics New Zealand (HiNZ) on 15 March 2018. 
HiNZ is a not-for-profit organisation with a focus on events and professional development. Its annual conference is the largest digital health event in New Zealand, attracting more than 900 delegates from a diverse range of professions within healthcare, technology, and government.
HiNZ chief executive Kim Mundell says: “Every year at the HiNZ conference we hear about innovative initiatives happening across healthcare and this sparks deep constructive conversations. With eHealthNews.nz we will be able to keep those conversations going throughout the year.”
Readers can browse content on the eHealthNews.nz home page and via the free eHealthNews.nz newsletter, sent out every second Thursday.
HiNZ board chair Rebecca Grainger says that as an independent organisation, HiNZ is in the perfect position to offer a credible local service covering the entire digital health ecosystem including clinical, research, industry and government news.
“Where HiNZ is unique is we bring a very diverse community together,” she says. “We believe that as eHealthNews.nz grows, it will play an increasingly important role in helping to reinforce those connections and keep people informed about the sector and its wider themes.”
HiNZ has invested in a dedicated editorial team headed by editor Rebecca McBeth, sub-editor Julie O’Brien and website coordinator Jeneffer Navarrete. McBeth was previously news editor at Digital Health Intelligence in London and is excited to see a similar publication launch in New Zealand.
“New Zealand has a vibrant digital health market with lots of really innovative and exciting projects going on nationwide. It’s great to have the opportunity to dig deeper into some of these stories and share people’s experiences across the country,” she says.
Anyone interested in marketing opportunities with eHealthNews.nz can contact HiNZ marketing manager Sue Clay. News tips and ideas can be emailed directly to Rebecca McBeth. Follow us on Twitter at @ehealthnewsnz
To sign up for the eHealthNews.nz newsletter go here. It's free.
Here is the link:
It seems to me this is really good news as New Zealand has been a quality contributor to the Digital Health story being large enough to afford experimentation and small enough to adopt national initiatives successfully if they appear genuinely useful!
I have certainly signed up!
David.

Here Is A Really Sensible Application Of AI Technology And EHRs To Catch Those Who Are Deteriorating Early!

This appeared a few days ago:

VA taps Google's DeepMind to predict patient deterioration

Feb 26, 2018 12:35pm
The Department of Veterans Affairs has launched a partnership with Google’s DeepMind to analyze patient records and build a model that can predict when a patient is deteriorating.
The VA said it will allow DeepMind’s algorithm to parse through 700,000 depersonalized health records, allowing the company’s algorithm to initially focus on predicting the onset of acute kidney injuries.
“Medicine is more than treating patients’ problems,” VA Secretary David Shulkin, M.D., said in an announcement. “Clinicians need to be able to identify risks to help prevent disease. This collaboration is an opportunity to advance the quality of care for our nation’s veterans by predicting deterioration and applying interventions early.” 
The partnership is one of several ongoing efforts to modernize the VA health system. Shulkin singled out modernization as one of four goals in a six-year strategic plan (PDF). Part of that effort includes eliminating legacy systems, transitioning to cloud-based analytics and implementing a “buy-first” strategy for IT solutions.
In a report (PDF) issued last week, the agency detailed efforts by the Office of Information Technology to streamline services and use health data to focus on high-priority areas like patient care and suicide prevention.
More here:
I really like this idea as it both leverages EHR data and AI technology while at the same time addressing the issue of providing the best possible alert to patient deterioration at a time when things may be corrected.
I hope there are some reports of how it all goes published over the next few years.
David.